TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mateusz Baran vs Jakub Skorupa 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118119511811311
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
118119511811311
H2H Mateusz Baran 4–6 Jakub Skorupa Mateusz Baran has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Skorupa beat Baran 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorupa form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaran 1.90 / Skorupa 1.80
TT Elite Series · #13241314
Baran1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 36 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back28% 14 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 30
Skorupa1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 155 of 233
Up 2–0, closes it91% 73 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it74% 103 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBaran4wins
AwaySkorupa6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkorupa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBaran50%3 of 6
AwaySkorupa75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baran6Skorupa4n = 10Baran took 6 of 10
S2Baran2Skorupa8n = 10Skorupa took 8 of 10
S3Baran4Skorupa6n = 10Skorupa took 6 of 10
S4Baran4Skorupa4n = 8split evenly
S5Baran2Skorupa2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBaranSkorupaB − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.942.3−2.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBaranSkorupaBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 188 vs 346 / 72252.1%47.9%98 / 188 vs 346 / 722Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SkorupaBaran 1.90/Skorupa 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Skorupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 3 · 16:00M. Baran205780J. Skorupa331111113
WSep 16 · 21:20M. Baran44111111113J. Skorupa34913481
LSep 16 · 04:40M. Baran46111261342J. Skorupa547141111113
LSep 15 · 22:40M. Baran3913510111J. Skorupa47111112133
LAug 26 · 23:30M. Baran3099120J. Skorupa361111143
LAug 26 · 19:10M. Baran4812981272J. Skorupa5310111110113
LAug 7 · 01:30M. Baran34611891J. Skorupa4111811113
WAug 6 · 20:05M. Baran4211911113J. Skorupa29411861
WAug 2 · 01:00M. Baran43117113113J. Skorupa4671181192
WAug 1 · 18:55M. Baran53911148113J. Skorupa50117121192
M. Baran10
LOct 4 · 01:10M. Baran2.40681181C. Pawlik1.5011115113LOct 3 · 22:25M. Baran2.905139101J. Oracz1.35111111123WOct 3 · 21:10M. Baran2.101015411153A. Kubiak1.651213116132LOct 3 · 20:00J. Oracz1.351012118113M. Baran2.85121081172LOct 3 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.4413912113M. Baran2.6011111041LOct 3 · 18:25M. Baran1.32118111192A. Szurgot3.05131195113WOct 3 · 16:50M. Baran2.00111185113A. Kubiak1.7189111192LOct 3 · 16:00J. Skorupa1.801111113M. Baran1.905780LSep 25 · 04:20Z. Nocun1.6211611113M. Baran2.15311851WSep 25 · 03:30H. Tkaczyk1.3681191182M. Baran2.90115117113
J. Skorupa10
WOct 4 · 00:45J. Oracz1.301211981J. Skorupa3.2514911113WOct 3 · 23:10J. Skorupa1.331110118113A. Szurgot3.0021261172LOct 3 · 22:00J. Skorupa2.508590C. Pawlik1.451111113WOct 3 · 20:20J. Skorupa1.90611711123A. Kubiak1.80114119102LOct 3 · 18:45J. Oracz1.291211113J. Skorupa3.3010980LOct 3 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.5014114113J. Skorupa2.401291161WOct 3 · 17:10J. Skorupa1.6513111114113A. Szurgot2.1215771672WOct 3 · 16:00J. Skorupa1.801111113M. Baran1.905780LOct 1 · 02:35H. Tkaczyk1.50111011113J. Skorupa2.50712961LOct 1 · 01:25J. Skorupa2.25610100Z. Nocun1.571112123
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