TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Bartlomiej Molka vs Sylwester Wloszek 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71110121210811––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:34 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSylwester Wloszek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
81 points played in total.
Set by set
71110121210811––
H2H Bartlomiej Molka 77–74 Sylwester Wloszek Sylwester Wloszek has won 74 of their 151 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:3454.0%Our read56.5%to break even at 1.77
short by 2.5pp56.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.77 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Wloszek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
77-74 in 151
Molka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 151, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molka 1564 vs Wloszek 1514
Molka
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molka 20% vs Wloszek 0%
Molka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molka 60% vs Wloszek 40%
Molka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molka -4 · Wloszek -6
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Wloszek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloszek form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolka 1.93 / Wloszek 1.77
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wloszek)-2.5pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13238086
Molka1.93
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 167 of 375
Down 0–1, comes back21% 44 of 211
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 120
Wloszek1.77
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 54 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it86% 24 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it75% 43 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolka5wins
AwayWloszek5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolka100%3 of 3
AwayWloszek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molka3Wloszek7n = 10Wloszek took 7 of 10
S2Molka6Wloszek4n = 10Molka took 6 of 10
S3Molka3Wloszek7n = 10Wloszek took 7 of 10
S4Molka4Wloszek2n = 6Molka took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolkaWloszekM − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.737.2−0.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolkaWloszekBasisWin rate · lifetime546 / 1183 vs 486 / 110646.2%43.9%546 / 1183 vs 486 / 1106Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WloszekMolka 1.93/Wloszek 1.77
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wloszek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wloszek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 08:00B. Molka154560S. Wloszek331111113
WSep 21 · 13:00B. Molka331111113S. Wloszek249780
LSep 21 · 07:30B. Molka32711681S. Wloszek3811511113
WSep 20 · 22:45B. Molka6313101211173S. Wloszek601512108152
LSep 20 · 16:05B. Molka259880S. Wloszek331111113
LSep 14 · 06:30B. Molka409111191S. Wloszek4411913113
WSep 13 · 20:05B. Molka49111112153S. Wloszek405814131
LSep 8 · 12:40B. Molka238870S. Wloszek331111113
WSep 8 · 07:00B. Molka43101111113S. Wloszek36128971
WSep 6 · 22:05B. Molka44111210113S. Wloszek314101251
B. Molka10
LOct 3 · 09:35J. Masternak2.001111113B. Molka1.717990LOct 3 · 07:35M. Lysakowski1.4081111113B. Molka2.75119971LOct 3 · 06:35J. Chojnacki2.85111111113B. Molka1.36891371LOct 2 · 13:30B. Molka1.6971110131J. Chojnacki2.0511412153WOct 2 · 11:00M. Burkacki2.15141011272B. Molka1.621212611113WOct 2 · 10:00B. Molka1.9571111113M. Galus1.74118571WOct 2 · 09:00B. Molka1.311181110113J. Chojnacki3.2061191282WOct 2 · 07:30B. Molka2.406131111113P. Gola1.50111113932WOct 2 · 05:30B. Molka2.7511125113M. Lysakowski1.407101151WSep 30 · 13:00B. Molka2.001111113S. Wloszek1.737950
S. Wloszek10
LOct 3 · 10:05J. Chojnacki2.4511511113S. Wloszek1.49911781LOct 3 · 08:05M. Burkacki2.1081111123S. Wloszek1.651199101LOct 3 · 06:05M. Lysakowski1.4311101311113S. Wloszek2.6581215982LSep 30 · 13:00B. Molka2.001111113S. Wloszek1.737950LSep 30 · 11:00B. Molka1.95817139113S. Wloszek1.741115111172LSep 30 · 10:00S. Wloszek2.059980S. Radlo1.661111113WSep 30 · 09:00S. Wloszek1.50111011113J. Masternak2.40912381WSep 30 · 07:30S. Wloszek2.401115814123M. Galus1.506131116102WSep 30 · 05:30S. Wloszek1.271111113J. Chojnacki3.508860WSep 29 · 12:30J. Chojnacki—471191S. Wloszek—11118113
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