TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Blazej Warpas vs Jacek Przewlocki 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111171191113114
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:30 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBlazej Warpas to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
8111171191113114
H2H Blazej Warpas 3–4 Jacek Przewlocki Blazej Warpas has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:3054.0%Our read51.3%to break even at 1.95
clears by 2.7pp51.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.95 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Przewlocki
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Warpas 1309 vs Przewlocki 1238
Warpas
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Warpas 60% vs Przewlocki 20%
Warpas
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Warpas 60% vs Przewlocki 30%
Warpas
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Warpas +1 · Przewlocki +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Warpas) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (20%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarpas 1.95 / Przewlocki 1.75
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Warpas)+2.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13231954
Warpas1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As underdog40% won 91 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back12% 16 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 76
Przewlocki1.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 119 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it94% 49 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it72% 86 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeWarpas3wins
AwayPrzewlocki4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWarpas75%3 of 4
AwayPrzewlocki100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Warpas4Przewlocki3n = 7Warpas took 4 of 7
S2Warpas1Przewlocki6n = 7Przewlocki took 6 of 7
S3Warpas4Przewlocki3n = 7Warpas took 4 of 7
S4Warpas1Przewlocki2n = 3Przewlocki took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricWarpasPrzewlockiW − PBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match36.739.3−2.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarpasPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime431 / 835 vs 516 / 106451.6%48.5%431 / 835 vs 516 / 1064Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WarpasWarpas 1.95/Przewlocki 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Warpas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Warpas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJun 29 · 23:45B. Warpas521171112112J. Przewlocki54911714133
WJun 29 · 21:20B. Warpas341211113J. Przewlocki2410860
WMay 11 · 14:15B. Warpas521261310113J. Przewlocki481011111242
LApr 20 · 13:00B. Warpas2367100J. Przewlocki341111123
LApr 20 · 06:40B. Warpas2339110J. Przewlocki351111133
WApr 20 · 04:10B. Warpas5012811193J. Przewlocki4410116171
LMar 23 · 15:35B. Warpas2361250J. Przewlocki361114113
B. Warpas10
WOct 2 · 06:55B. Warpas1.6011113113F. Krcil2.21961181LOct 2 · 05:40B. Warpas1.95121080K. Kufel1.751412113WOct 2 · 04:10B. Warpas2.35131111113R. Stapor1.53158981LOct 2 · 03:00B. Warpas1.8049111172M. Lukaszewski1.90111175113WOct 1 · 07:40B. Warpas1.9111118113M. Lukaszewski1.78671181WOct 1 · 06:40B. Warpas2.601111123M. Kukawka1.4286100LOct 1 · 05:15B. Warpas2.009890K. Sulkowski1.701111113WOct 1 · 04:10M. Minda1.331B. Warpas2.953LOct 1 · 03:25B. Warpas2.6591550R. Stapor1.421117113WSep 30 · 07:40B. Warpas1.8011124113M. Lukaszewski1.807101171
J. Przewlocki10
WOct 2 · 07:20J. Przewlocki1.71111511113M. Lukaszewski2.00217341LOct 2 · 06:05F. Krcil1.51118116113J. Przewlocki2.4041191162LOct 2 · 04:55K. Kufel1.605111111113J. Przewlocki2.1511661382LOct 2 · 03:25R. Stapor2.55114311113J. Przewlocki1.4611111542LSep 26 · 13:55J. Przewlocki1.771211651A. Szoltysek1.8314911113LSep 26 · 12:40J. Przewlocki1.93117411152K. Guminski1.77811117173WSep 26 · 11:25J. Przewlocki1.7511126113J. Rolak1.959101151LSep 26 · 10:10B. Wisniewski2.15101411113J. Przewlocki1.611212961WSep 26 · 09:25J. Przewlocki2.4011711113M. Misiak1.47811981LSep 26 · 08:35J. Przewlocki1.98117981A. Szoltysek1.7341111113
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