TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Stapor vs Jacek Przewlocki 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
111411311115114
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:21 and never touched: 67.2% is still 67.2%
Graded at full timeRafal Stapor to win
67.2%
67.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
111411311115114
H2H Rafal Stapor 5–5 Jacek Przewlocki Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:2167.2%Our read39.2%to break even at 2.55
clears by 28.0pp39.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 2.55 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (64%)
Przewlocki
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1433 vs Przewlocki 1243
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 190 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 60% vs Przewlocki 40%
Stapor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 70% vs Przewlocki 40%
Stapor
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor -1 · Przewlocki -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Stapor) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (40%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 2.55 / Przewlocki 1.46
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Stapor)+28.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13228696
Stapor2.55
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 107 of 301
Down 0–1, comes back16% 30 of 186
Down 0–2, comes back7% 8 of 108
Przewlocki1.46
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 26)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite56% won 121 of 217
Up 2–0, closes it94% 50 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it72% 88 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor5wins
AwayPrzewlocki5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor75%3 of 4
AwayPrzewlocki66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor4Przewlocki6n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S2Stapor8Przewlocki2n = 10Stapor took 8 of 10
S3Stapor6Przewlocki4n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S4Stapor3Przewlocki6n = 9Przewlocki took 6 of 9
S5Stapor3Przewlocki4n = 7Przewlocki took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporPrzewlockiS − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.441.8+2.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime714 / 1266 vs 519 / 107156.4%48.5%714 / 1266 vs 519 / 1071Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
StaporStapor 2.55/Przewlocki 1.46
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.2%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 05:40R. Stapor4281111842J. Przewlocki43118211113
LSep 14 · 06:05R. Stapor4591181162J. Przewlocki47118116113
WAug 27 · 11:25R. Stapor51111199113J. Przewlocki4169111142
WJul 19 · 09:20R. Stapor331111113J. Przewlocki246990
LApr 29 · 13:00R. Stapor4151111952J. Przewlocki48119611113
LMar 9 · 10:45R. Stapor48119117102J. Przewlocki47711611123
WMar 9 · 07:15R. Stapor4291111113J. Przewlocki34118691
LFeb 28 · 13:15R. Stapor37911981J. Przewlocki4211911113
WFeb 16 · 14:25R. Stapor521171211113J. Przewlocki4481114742
WFeb 13 · 12:45R. Stapor536111213113J. Przewlocki48117101552
R. Stapor10
LOct 1 · 14:20R. Stapor2.403780J. Zochniak1.501111113WOct 1 · 12:40M. Minda1.8551161192R. Stapor1.80119113113WOct 1 · 11:50D. Kosmal1.7671191162R. Stapor1.96119119113LOct 1 · 11:00R. Stapor2.659770B. Czerwinski1.401111113WOct 1 · 09:50R. Stapor1.6314131112113A. Mugowski2.151215131082LOct 1 · 08:35M. Minda1.80113118113R. Stapor1.8571121182WOct 1 · 07:20R. Stapor1.46111111113K. Sulkowski2.55651361WOct 1 · 06:20M. Lukaszewski2.851110651R. Stapor1.3531211113WOct 1 · 04:55M. Kukawka1.55129611122R. Stapor2.251011114143WOct 1 · 03:25B. Warpas2.6591550R. Stapor1.421117113
J. Przewlocki10
LSep 26 · 13:55J. Przewlocki1.771211651A. Szoltysek1.8314911113LSep 26 · 12:40J. Przewlocki1.93117411152K. Guminski1.77811117173WSep 26 · 11:25J. Przewlocki1.7511126113J. Rolak1.959101151LSep 26 · 10:10B. Wisniewski2.15101411113J. Przewlocki1.611212961WSep 26 · 09:25J. Przewlocki2.4011711113M. Misiak1.47811981LSep 26 · 08:35J. Przewlocki1.98117981A. Szoltysek1.7341111113WSep 26 · 06:55J. Przewlocki1.751111133B. Wisniewski1.9597110WSep 26 · 05:40J. Przewlocki1.75111187113J. Rolak1.9864111192LSep 26 · 04:10J. Przewlocki1.75118871M. Misiak1.9891111113LSep 26 · 03:00J. Przewlocki1.75117116112D. Wrobel1.95611911133
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