TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Erik Precek vs Laurent Lasota 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11410121113511––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:58 and never touched: 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeErik Precek to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingErik Precek above · Laurent Lasota below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 77 set 4, 5-11 · our read held Erik Precek at 60.5%
77 points played in total.
H2H Erik Precek 0–1 Laurent Lasota Erik Precek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5860.5%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 1.4pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Precek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Precek 1530 vs Lasota 1460
Precek
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Precek 20% vs Lasota 0%
Precek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Precek 30% vs Lasota 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Precek +1 · Lasota -8
Lasota
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Precek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lasota form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrecek 1.615 / Lasota 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Precek)-1.4pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13229902
Precek1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite45% won 39 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it73% 27 of 37
Lasota2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 30)
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog52% won 45 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back27% 12 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePrecek0wins
AwayLasota1wins
Lasota leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPrecekLasotaP − LBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match37.040.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrecekLasotaBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 503 vs 148 / 30446.7%48.7%235 / 503 vs 148 / 304Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PrecekPrecek 1.61/Lasota 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Precek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lasota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 2 · 06:15E. Precek3711101151L. Lasota4041213113
E. Precek10
WOct 2 · 07:15M. Raska2.20411651E. Precek1.6111411113WOct 1 · 08:38R. Benes1.441061251E. Precek2.63121110113LOct 1 · 08:10R. Benes1.6111114133E. Precek2.209911111LOct 1 · 07:10E. Precek2.2011611121J. Krupnik1.6131113143LOct 1 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.731211119113E. Precek2.00107131192LSep 29 · 12:49M. Moravec1.443111411153E. Precek2.63117166132LSep 29 · 11:40E. Precek2.25118411M. Moravec1.5751111113LSep 29 · 10:40E. Precek1.6757100D. Pawlik2.101111123WSep 29 · 09:40E. Precek1.8011314113A. Cizek1.918111261WSep 27 · 12:45D. Pawlik1.938670E. Precek1.781111113
L. Lasota10
WOct 2 · 06:45R. Sedlacek1.831155101L. Lasota1.8361111123LSep 30 · 20:45D. Osvald1.6111612113L. Lasota2.209111031LSep 30 · 19:40L. Lasota2.001016731D. Branny1.73121411113LSep 30 · 18:40L. Lasota1.807280D. Osvald1.911111113LSep 30 · 17:40L. Lasota1.67461281J. Przybyla2.10111110113LSep 29 · 20:43D. Branny1.6713911113L. Lasota2.101111861LSep 29 · 19:45L. Lasota1.83451181D. Branny1.8311117113LSep 29 · 18:45L. Lasota1.7381011111F. Theodor2.0011125133LSep 29 · 17:45L. Lasota1.679890V. Reska2.101111113WSep 28 · 12:40D. Vitasek1.7311470L. Lasota2.001311113
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