TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Krzysztof Zapala vs Blazej Gola 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911114711116119
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:28 and never touched: 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Zapala to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
911114711116119
H2H Krzysztof Zapala 43–24 Blazej Gola Blazej Gola has won 24 of their 67 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:2857.6%Our read62.5%to break even at 1.60
short by 4.9pp62.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.60 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Zapala
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
43-24 in 67
Zapala
Correct
gap of 19 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zapala 1442 vs Gola 1451
Gola
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zapala 0% vs Gola 0%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zapala 20% vs Gola 40%
Gola
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zapala -5 · Gola -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Zapala) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gola form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZapala 1.60 / Gola 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Zapala)-4.9pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13229053
Zapala1.60
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 61 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it90% 36 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it80% 51 of 64
Gola2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 42 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back9% 8 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZapala6wins
AwayGola4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZapala leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZapala100%5 of 5
AwayGola80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zapala5Gola5n = 10split evenly
S2Zapala7Gola3n = 10Zapala took 7 of 10
S3Zapala5Gola5n = 10split evenly
S4Zapala2Gola2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZapalaGolaZ − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.434.1+1.3per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZapalaGolaBasisWin rate · lifetime338 / 762 vs 230 / 53244.4%43.2%338 / 762 vs 230 / 532Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.033.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZapalaZapala 1.60/Gola 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.6%
Zapala · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zapala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 17:30K. Zapala5091215952B. Gola5611101311113
WSep 17 · 16:30K. Zapala53181155143B. Gola551651111122
LSep 16 · 21:40K. Zapala176560B. Gola331111113
WSep 16 · 16:30K. Zapala4311118133B. Gola283311111
WSep 3 · 17:30K. Zapala341111123B. Gola2349100
LAug 27 · 17:30K. Zapala182880B. Gola331111113
WAug 20 · 17:30K. Zapala331111113B. Gola205780
WAug 19 · 17:30K. Zapala4391211113B. Gola341110761
WAug 13 · 17:30K. Zapala361114113B. Gola2541290
LAug 12 · 16:30K. Zapala2798100B. Gola341111123
K. Zapala10
LOct 1 · 16:30K. Guzy1.37116119113K. Zapala2.8761171132LOct 1 · 16:00K. Zapala3.354830A. Duch1.281111113LSep 25 · 21:30G. Rokita—13138113K. Zapala—11111191LSep 25 · 20:30K. Zapala2.75128511142K. Guzy1.401011118163LSep 25 · 18:30T. Stachera1.901311113K. Zapala1.8011790WSep 25 · 17:30K. Zapala3.00115119113P. Odelski1.3381181192LSep 25 · 16:30D. Bucko1.571113123K. Zapala2.25511100LSep 25 · 16:00K. Zapala1.463970G. Rokita2.501111113WSep 19 · 23:05D. Bucko—7111312132K. Zapala—11131110153LSep 19 · 21:35K. Zapala1.668101171B. Bartosz1.8911124113
B. Gola10
LOct 1 · 15:00A. Veliiev1.2513121113113B. Gola3.70151011582LOct 1 · 14:30K. Guzy1.4411145123B. Gola2.5091211101LSep 18 · 22:00B. Gola2.45125491K. Guzy1.49101111113LSep 18 · 21:00P. Odelski1.591111113B. Gola2.085580LSep 18 · 19:30B. Gola3.25711117132K. Kowalewski1.30117911153WSep 18 · 17:30K. Zapala1.7891215952B. Gola1.8311101311113WSep 18 · 15:00K. Guzy1.368340B. Gola2.651111113LSep 18 · 14:30P. Kos1.6413119143B. Gola2.0011611121WSep 17 · 21:30T. Stachera—111311492B. Gola—815711113WSep 17 · 20:00K. Kowalewski1.3311811772B. Gola3.00811911113
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