TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krzysztof Kapik vs Maciej Kolek · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts 10:30Scheduled
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Head to head
31 – 19
All 50 meetings · 62.0%
Last 10 · 5–5
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Maciej Kolek arrives on a run of 5 straight wins. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kolek beat Kapik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKapik 1.50 / Kolek 2.40
TT Elite Series · #13227102
Kapik1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 218 of 353
Up 2–0, closes it95% 103 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it78% 147 of 189
Kolek2.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 176 of 445
Down 0–1, comes back22% 57 of 262
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKapik5wins
AwayKolek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKapik83.3%5 of 6
AwayKolek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kapik6Kolek4n = 10Kapik took 6 of 10
S2Kapik5Kolek5n = 10split evenly
S3Kapik5Kolek5n = 10split evenly
S4Kapik3Kolek5n = 8Kolek took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKapikKolekKapik − KolekBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.636.7−0.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKapikKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime1109 / 2085 vs 750 / 148753.2%50.4%1109 / 2085 vs 750 / 1487Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 1 · 07:15K. Kapik49115129122M. Kolek482111011143
LSep 10 · 23:45K. Kapik197570M. Kolek331111113
WSep 1 · 22:35K. Kapik331111113M. Kolek189360
WAug 31 · 21:25K. Kapik3811115113M. Kolek29681141
WAug 28 · 12:10K. Kapik51118138113M. Kolek50811111192
LAug 26 · 22:10K. Kapik28311681M. Kolek4111811113
WAug 25 · 22:55K. Kapik43111011113M. Kolek31312881
LAug 25 · 00:10K. Kapik29611661M. Kolek4111811113
WAug 23 · 19:40K. Kapik4511911143M. Kolek375119121
LAug 15 · 01:10K. Kapik311111271M. Kolek3913411113
K. Kapik10
LOct 1 · 09:45G. Poliniewicz1.83129119113K. Kapik1.88101141172WOct 1 · 08:30M. Olbrycht2.0011681172K. Kapik1.70811118113LOct 1 · 07:15K. Kapik1.65115129122M. Kolek2.052111011143WOct 1 · 06:00P. Jendrzejewski1.83114711152K. Kapik1.88711114173LOct 1 · 04:50J. Kwapis1.6311911113K. Kapik2.16511691LOct 1 · 03:20K. Wisniewski1.90141115113K. Kapik1.751671371LSep 28 · 13:50M. Rutkowski2.0011101014113K. Kapik1.73512121282WSep 28 · 13:00M. Sklensky2.325119131K. Kapik1.5511311153LSep 28 · 12:10K. Kapik1.459101271D. Kostal2.50111210113WSep 28 · 10:30K. Kapik3.0561111113K. Wloczko1.32117381
M. Kolek10
WOct 1 · 09:00J. Kwapis1.5257121182M. Kolek2.301111109113WOct 1 · 08:05J. Kwapis1.9071161172M. Kolek1.81116116113WOct 1 · 07:15K. Kapik1.65115129122M. Kolek2.052111011143WOct 1 · 05:15K. Wisniewski1.85271191M. Kolek1.8511116113WOct 1 · 04:25P. Jendrzejewski1.6179150M. Kolek2.151111173LOct 1 · 03:00M. Olbrycht1.9051311113M. Kolek1.801111761WSep 30 · 13:55M. Zwolinski4.958870M. Kolek1.121111113WSep 30 · 13:05R. Stapor2.5281141142M. Kolek1.47115117113LSep 30 · 12:15M. Kolek1.858141191J. Zochniak1.8011167113LSep 30 · 10:35M. Kolek1.4096111162M. Minda2.70111136113
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