TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Evhenii Hrytsenko vs Yevhenii Holoborodko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112117118––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:34 and never touched: 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeEvhenii Hrytsenko to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingEvhenii Hrytsenko above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 50 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Evhenii Hrytsenko at 62.8%
50 points played in total.
H2H Evhenii Hrytsenko 22–10 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 10 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:3462.8%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 2.4pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hrytsenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
22-10 in 32
Hrytsenko
Correct
gap of 12 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrytsenko 1618 vs Holoborodko 1529
Hrytsenko
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrytsenko 40% vs Holoborodko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrytsenko 40% vs Holoborodko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrytsenko +1 · Holoborodko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Hrytsenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrytsenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrytsenko 1.533 / Holoborodko 2.375
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Hrytsenko)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13224878
Hrytsenko1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 29)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 49 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it74% 34 of 46
Holoborodko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 70 of 189
Down 0–1, comes back24% 28 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrytsenko7wins
AwayHoloborodko3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHrytsenko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrytsenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayHoloborodko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrytsenko6Holoborodko4n = 10Hrytsenko took 6 of 10
S2Hrytsenko7Holoborodko3n = 10Hrytsenko took 7 of 10
S3Hrytsenko5Holoborodko5n = 10split evenly
S4Hrytsenko3Holoborodko4n = 7Holoborodko took 4 of 7
S5Hrytsenko3Holoborodko1n = 4Hrytsenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrytsenkoHoloborodkoHrytsenko − HoloborodkoBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.237.5+2.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrytsenkoHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 648 vs 343 / 66849.1%51.4%318 / 648 vs 343 / 668Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HrytsenkoHrytsenko 1.53/Holoborodko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.8%
Hrytsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hrytsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 12 · 13:40E. Hrytsenko341112113Y. Holoborodko2371060
WAug 9 · 11:30E. Hrytsenko51715153113Y. Holoborodko531113131152
LJul 30 · 16:10E. Hrytsenko2495100Y. Holoborodko341111123
LJul 23 · 11:10E. Hrytsenko47811611112Y. Holoborodko50117118133
WJul 14 · 12:10E. Hrytsenko4813119153Y. Holoborodko4311811131
WJul 9 · 11:10E. Hrytsenko331111113Y. Holoborodko177640
LJul 2 · 16:10E. Hrytsenko32114891Y. Holoborodko3741111113
WJun 18 · 12:10E. Hrytsenko48127117113Y. Holoborodko48101181182
WJun 3 · 14:10E. Hrytsenko3741111113Y. Holoborodko30116671
WMay 22 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko481111105113Y. Holoborodko4038121162
E. Hrytsenko10
WSep 29 · 11:50E. Hrytsenko1.83112611113M. Mrykh1.8371111972LSep 29 · 10:20E. Hrytsenko2.507950A. Derevianko1.501111113LSep 29 · 08:50E. Hrytsenko2.75614161V. Savoliuk1.40111211113LSep 29 · 07:20E. Hrytsenko1.7310690I. Nitchenko2.001211113WSep 29 · 05:50E. Hrytsenko2.7581111113O. Strutinskiy1.40116651LSep 28 · 17:10E. Hrytsenko1.73911951O. Zhyrnov2.0011711113LSep 28 · 15:10V. Maksuta1.8012711113E. Hrytsenko1.911011441WSep 28 · 14:10E. Hrytsenko2.501171111133A. Derevianko1.50611139112WSep 28 · 13:10M. Mrykh1.7311950E. Hrytsenko2.001311113LSep 28 · 11:40E. Hrytsenko2.63641141O. Strutinskiy1.4411119113
Y. Holoborodko10
WOct 1 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.751311113V. Maksuta1.4011770LSep 30 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.731281111113Y. Holoborodko2.00101113992LSep 30 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.6311812972D. Habrelyan1.449111011113WSep 30 · 14:10I. Efimenko1.73611751Y. Holoborodko2.0011611113LSep 30 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.441213113Y. Holoborodko2.63101180WSep 30 · 11:10V. Merzlikin1.73101214782Y. Holoborodko2.0012101211113WSep 26 · 17:40Y. Makovka2.75117111172Y. Holoborodko1.40131199113LSep 26 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.731110111153Y. Holoborodko2.0013129812LSep 26 · 12:10A. Droshchynskyi1.361111123Y. Holoborodko3.0065100WSep 26 · 11:10V. Ishchuk2.002570Y. Holoborodko1.731111113
Upcoming Matches
E. Hrytsenko
Y. Holoborodko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.