TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Masternak vs Szymon Radlo 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
131511914121210––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:56 and never touched: 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeSzymon Radlo to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
131511914121210––
H2H Jan Masternak 33–35 Szymon Radlo Jan Masternak has won 33 of their 68 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5661.1%Our read63.3%to break even at 1.58
short by 2.2pp63.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.58 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.58 (58%)
Radlo
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
33-35 in 68
Radlo
Wrong
gap of 2 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Masternak 1479 vs Radlo 1534
Radlo
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Masternak 40% vs Radlo 60%
Radlo
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Masternak 20% vs Radlo 60%
Radlo
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Masternak +1 · Radlo -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Radlo) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMasternak 2.20 / Radlo 1.58
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Radlo)-2.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13224276
Masternak2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 104 of 253
Down 0–1, comes back24% 35 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 90
Radlo1.58
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 104 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it95% 55 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it76% 88 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMasternak6wins
AwayRadlo4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMasternak leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMasternak100%3 of 3
AwayRadlo57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Masternak3Radlo7n = 10Radlo took 7 of 10
S2Masternak7Radlo3n = 10Masternak took 7 of 10
S3Masternak6Radlo4n = 10Masternak took 6 of 10
S4Masternak2Radlo4n = 6Radlo took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMasternakRadloM − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.641.8+0.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMasternakRadloBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 931 vs 396 / 80243.7%49.4%407 / 931 vs 396 / 802Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RadloMasternak 2.20/Radlo 1.58
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.1%
Radlo · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Masternak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 06:00J. Masternak50131114123S. Radlo4615912101
WSep 30 · 06:00J. Masternak6713161314113S. Radlo651118111692
LSep 5 · 11:05J. Masternak31101290S. Radlo371214113
WAug 30 · 16:05J. Masternak331111113S. Radlo218670
WAug 27 · 10:30J. Masternak4071111113S. Radlo37119981
WAug 24 · 12:30J. Masternak48611146113S. Radlo49119121162
LAug 24 · 08:00J. Masternak4691111151S. Radlo4511413173
LAug 23 · 22:35J. Masternak381311861S. Radlo4415711113
WAug 23 · 21:05J. Masternak441115183S. Radlo38913160
LAug 21 · 06:00J. Masternak2998120S. Radlo361111143
J. Masternak10
LOct 1 · 07:00M. Burkacki1.47111159113J. Masternak2.5079111162WSep 30 · 12:30J. Chojnacki1.40129116122J. Masternak2.751011811143LSep 30 · 11:30M. Galus1.3891311113J. Masternak2.801111461LSep 30 · 10:30J. Chojnacki2.751111113J. Masternak1.408990LSep 30 · 09:00S. Wloszek1.50111011113J. Masternak2.40912381WSep 30 · 06:00S. Radlo1.721118111692J. Masternak2.0113161314113LSep 30 · 05:00B. Molka1.801111113J. Masternak1.905880LSep 25 · 12:30B. Fraczek1.38111111113J. Masternak2.85891341LSep 25 · 11:30D. Stapor1.937111310113J. Masternak1.79119111292LSep 25 · 10:30P. Gola1.75471111113J. Masternak1.9811116882
S. Radlo10
LOct 1 · 05:00M. Galus1.621111113S. Radlo2.157780WSep 30 · 13:30S. Radlo2.20111011113M. Galus1.60812861LSep 30 · 12:00S. Radlo2.52711661J. Chojnacki1.4711611113WSep 30 · 10:00S. Wloszek2.059980S. Radlo1.661111113WSep 30 · 08:00B. Molka1.651071171S. Radlo2.1012116113WSep 30 · 07:00M. Galus1.626119101S. Radlo2.0211811123LSep 30 · 06:00S. Radlo1.721118111692J. Masternak2.0113161314113LSep 29 · 13:00D. Stapor1.911315115113S. Radlo1.80151351192WSep 29 · 11:00S. Radlo1.311311811123J. Chojnacki3.201191113102WSep 29 · 09:30S. Radlo2.23161211113D. Stapor1.591810791
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