TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Maksymilian Rus vs Mateusz Sikon 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111181161210––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:08 and never touched: 67.1% is still 67.1%
Graded at full timeMateusz Sikon to win
67.1%
67.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
9111181161210––
H2H Maksymilian Rus 1–3 Mateusz Sikon Maksymilian Rus has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:0867.1%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 4.3pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (64%)
Sikon
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Sikon
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rus 1166 vs Sikon 1405
Sikon
Wrong
both rated, 239 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rus 20% vs Sikon 60%
Sikon
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rus 20% vs Sikon 60%
Sikon
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rus -3 · Sikon +1
Rus
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Sikon) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRus 2.52 / Sikon 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Sikon)-4.3pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13220599
Rus2.52
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 73 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back15% 25 of 169
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 103
Sikon1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 65 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it85% 23 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it79% 44 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeRus1wins
AwaySikon3wins
3 of 4 to a deciderSikon leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRusn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwaySikon75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rus0Sikon4n = 4Sikon took 4 of 4
S2Rus3Sikon1n = 4Rus took 3 of 4
S3Rus3Sikon1n = 4Rus took 3 of 4
S4Rus3Sikon1n = 4Rus took 3 of 4
S5Rus0Sikon3n = 3Sikon took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away375%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricRusSikonR − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match49.548.5+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRusSikonBasisWin rate · lifetime134 / 418 vs 191 / 46632.1%41%134 / 418 vs 191 / 466Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SikonRus 2.52/Sikon 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.1%
Sikon · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 30 · 07:10M. Rus4391111123M. Sikon351186101
LSep 16 · 11:30M. Rus561311141172M. Sikon54159163113
LSep 16 · 07:10M. Rus48711115142M. Sikon52115911163
LAug 18 · 10:20M. Rus51991111112M. Sikon53111199133
M. Rus10
LSep 30 · 06:20B. Madej1.80771111113M. Rus1.9011117672LSep 23 · 17:05M. Rus2.801171011102O. Vincenec1.37611127123LSep 23 · 15:30M. Rus2.8089111182R. Gajda1.37111179113WSep 23 · 14:20M. Rus2.10141111123B. Madej1.6512813101LSep 23 · 12:50M. Rus5.005730R. Skotniczny1.121111113LSep 23 · 11:30M. Rus2.759490M. Baron1.401111113LSep 23 · 10:20R. Skotniczny1.191116163M. Rus4.23514140LSep 23 · 09:30R. Gajda1.32111011133M. Rus3.109127111WSep 23 · 08:45M. Rus2.601011712113O. Vincenec1.44128111082LSep 23 · 07:10M. Rus2.55331141M. Baron1.4511117113
M. Sikon10
WSep 30 · 05:30R. Gajda2.10116871M. Sikon1.6571111113LSep 29 · 20:00M. Adamus1.821011112133M. Sikon1.88128811112WSep 29 · 19:10P. Kurek1.60119681M. Sikon2.1561111113WSep 29 · 18:25M. Sikon1.65117117113O. Sokolowski2.1081171182LSep 29 · 16:50M. Sikon1.86111155102M. Tkocz1.84581111123LSep 29 · 16:00J. Kaczmarek2.451111123M. Sikon1.4598100WSep 29 · 08:45M. Sikon2.551111113K. Hetnar1.459790WSep 29 · 07:10M. Sikon2.50111411113M. Lebek1.457121381WSep 29 · 06:00M. Sikon1.901111115113W. Urban1.7513791182LSep 29 · 04:25M. Sikon1.776790A. Ruszkiewicz1.931111113
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