TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Szymon Radlo vs Jan Masternak 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1113181611131614911
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:56 and never touched: 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeSzymon Radlo to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
132 points played in total.
Set by set
1113181611131614911
H2H Szymon Radlo 35–32 Jan Masternak Jan Masternak has won 32 of their 67 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5658.0%Our read58.1%to break even at 1.72
short by 0.1pp58.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.72 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.72 (54%)
Radlo
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
35-32 in 67
Radlo
Wrong
gap of 3 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Radlo 1518 vs Masternak 1495
Radlo
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Radlo 40% vs Masternak 0%
Radlo
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Radlo 40% vs Masternak 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Radlo -1 · Masternak -7
Masternak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Radlo) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masternak form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRadlo 1.72 / Masternak 2.01
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Radlo)-0.1pp
TT Cup · #13218808
Radlo1.72
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 103 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it95% 54 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it76% 87 of 115
Masternak2.01
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 104 of 251
Down 0–1, comes back25% 36 of 147
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRadlo4wins
AwayMasternak6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMasternak leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRadlo57.1%4 of 7
AwayMasternak100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Radlo7Masternak3n = 10Radlo took 7 of 10
S2Radlo3Masternak7n = 10Masternak took 7 of 10
S3Radlo4Masternak6n = 10Masternak took 6 of 10
S4Radlo5Masternak1n = 6Radlo took 5 of 6
S5Radlo0Masternak3n = 3Masternak took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRadloMasternakR − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.243.8−0.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRadloMasternakBasisWin rate · lifetime392 / 795 vs 406 / 92949.3%43.7%392 / 795 vs 406 / 929Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RadloRadlo 1.72/Masternak 2.01
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58%
Radlo · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Masternak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 30 · 06:00S. Radlo651118111692J. Masternak6713161314113
WSep 5 · 11:05S. Radlo371214113J. Masternak31101290
LAug 30 · 16:05S. Radlo218670J. Masternak331111113
LAug 27 · 10:30S. Radlo37119981J. Masternak4071111113
LAug 24 · 12:30S. Radlo49119121162J. Masternak48611146113
WAug 24 · 08:00S. Radlo4511413173J. Masternak4691111151
WAug 23 · 22:35S. Radlo4415711113J. Masternak381311861
LAug 23 · 21:05S. Radlo38913160J. Masternak441115183
WAug 21 · 06:00S. Radlo361111143J. Masternak2998120
LAug 20 · 11:00S. Radlo6011101112162J. Masternak629121310183
S. Radlo10
LSep 29 · 13:00D. Stapor1.911315115113S. Radlo1.80151351192WSep 29 · 11:00S. Radlo1.311311811123J. Chojnacki3.201191113102WSep 29 · 09:30S. Radlo2.23161211113D. Stapor1.591810791LSep 29 · 08:00S. Radlo2.556118111M. Lysakowski1.4611911133LSep 29 · 06:30S. Radlo1.9811516101S. Wloszek1.73131114123LSep 29 · 05:00S. Radlo1.93811741P. Gola1.7911411113LSep 28 · 13:40D. Stapor1.80111112143S. Radlo1.9171310121WSep 28 · 11:30S. Radlo1.98111112113B. Molka1.751391081LSep 28 · 09:30D. Stapor1.661110117123S. Radlo2.10812811102WSep 28 · 08:30S. Radlo2.45131411123M. Lysakowski1.5011169101
J. Masternak10
LSep 30 · 05:00B. Molka1.801111113J. Masternak1.905880LSep 25 · 12:30B. Fraczek1.38111111113J. Masternak2.85891341LSep 25 · 11:30D. Stapor1.937111310113J. Masternak1.79119111292LSep 25 · 10:30P. Gola1.75471111113J. Masternak1.9811116882LSep 25 · 09:00B. Fraczek1.601111163J. Masternak2.1097140LSep 25 · 07:00M. Lysakowski1.551111113J. Masternak2.305880LSep 25 · 05:00M. Stepien1.301111113J. Masternak2.935570WSep 24 · 13:30P. Gola1.501291112102J. Masternak2.401011814123WSep 24 · 12:00J. Masternak3.081211143M. Galus1.33108120WSep 24 · 10:00M. Lysakowski2.2281181182J. Masternak1.59117118113
Upcoming Matches
S. Radlo
J. Masternak
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.