TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Szymon Radlo vs Bartlomiej Molka 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11131191210118––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Molka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
11131191210118––
H2H Szymon Radlo 51–52 Bartlomiej Molka Szymon Radlo has won 51 of their 103 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:26What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Molka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-52 in 103
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Radlo 1533 vs Molka 1538
Molka
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Radlo 60% vs Molka 40%
Radlo
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Radlo 50% vs Molka 30%
Radlo
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Radlo -1 · Molka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Molka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molka form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRadlo 1.98 / Molka 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Molka)+0.9pp
TT Cup · #13210604
Radlo1.98
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 170 of 340
Down 0–1, comes back22% 35 of 158
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 98
Molka1.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 59 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it74% 40 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRadlo5wins
AwayMolka5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRadlo100%3 of 3
AwayMolka71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Radlo3Molka7n = 10Molka took 7 of 10
S2Radlo4Molka6n = 10Molka took 6 of 10
S3Radlo2Molka8n = 10Molka took 8 of 10
S4Radlo3Molka2n = 5Radlo took 3 of 5
S5Radlo3Molka0n = 3Radlo took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricRadloMolkaR − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.841.1−2.3per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRadloMolkaBasisWin rate · lifetime389 / 786 vs 543 / 118049.5%46%389 / 786 vs 543 / 1180Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolkaRadlo 1.98/Molka 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Molka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Radlo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 12:40S. Radlo246990B. Molka331111113
WSep 23 · 11:00S. Radlo58127159153B. Molka5810111311132
LSep 22 · 09:30S. Radlo279990B. Molka331111113
LSep 21 · 08:30S. Radlo28111070B. Molka361312113
WSep 20 · 22:05S. Radlo4411117153B. Molka429911131
WSep 16 · 12:40S. Radlo4461111163B. Molka411188141
LSep 16 · 05:00S. Radlo2511860B. Molka351311113
WSep 15 · 07:30S. Radlo511111108113B. Molka4494121182
LSep 13 · 18:05S. Radlo32811130B. Molka391113153
WSep 8 · 12:00S. Radlo5511111012113B. Molka50137121082
S. Radlo10
LSep 28 · 13:40D. Stapor1.80111112143S. Radlo1.9171310121LSep 28 · 09:30D. Stapor1.661110117123S. Radlo2.10812811102WSep 28 · 08:30S. Radlo2.45131411123M. Lysakowski1.5011169101WSep 28 · 07:30P. Gola1.5797110S. Radlo2.251111133WSep 28 · 07:00S. Radlo1.23111112113J. Chojnacki3.901361091LSep 23 · 12:40S. Radlo1.856990B. Molka1.851111113WSep 23 · 11:00S. Radlo2.00127159153B. Molka1.6410111311132LSep 23 · 09:30S. Radlo2.101111771M. Galus1.6513611113LSep 23 · 08:00S. Radlo2.05413681P. Gola1.66111111113LSep 23 · 06:00S. Radlo1.71841111102M. Stepien2.00111199123
B. Molka10
WSep 28 · 12:40M. Lysakowski2.24811881B. Molka1.5811911113LSep 28 · 10:30M. Lysakowski1.4011115113B. Molka2.75231131WSep 28 · 09:00P. Gola1.4112811101B. Molka2.7014117123LSep 28 · 06:30J. Chojnacki—511611113B. Molka—11811892WSep 23 · 12:40S. Radlo1.856990B. Molka1.851111113LSep 23 · 11:00S. Radlo2.00127159153B. Molka1.6410111311132LSep 23 · 10:00B. Molka2.209570P. Gola1.601111113LSep 23 · 09:00B. Molka2.1011911452D. Stapor1.60111711113LSep 23 · 07:30B. Molka2.1045111142M. Galus1.65111178113WSep 23 · 05:30B. Molka2.4011811113M. Stepien1.50911981
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