TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Caban vs Pasek Kamil 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111191214117111
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:26 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePasek Kamil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
9111191214117111
H2H Jakub Caban 3–2 Pasek Kamil Pasek Kamil has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:26What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kamil
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Caban 1449 vs Kamil 1428
Caban
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Caban 40% vs Kamil 60%
Kamil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Caban 40% vs Kamil 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Caban -3 · Kamil -2
Caban
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Kamil) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Caban form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCaban 1.90 / Kamil 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kamil)+2.6pp
TT Cup · #13217502
Caban1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 15 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back25% 5 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Kamil1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 31 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeCaban3wins
AwayKamil2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderCaban leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCaban66.7%2 of 3
AwayKamiln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Caban3Kamil2n = 5Caban took 3 of 5
S2Caban2Kamil3n = 5Kamil took 3 of 5
S3Caban3Kamil2n = 5Caban took 3 of 5
S4Caban3Kamil2n = 5Caban took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricCabanKamilC − KBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match42.439.8+2.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabanKamilBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 411 vs 129 / 23455.2%55.1%227 / 411 vs 129 / 234Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.439.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KamilCaban 1.90/Kamil 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kamil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Caban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 14 · 15:00J. Caban4211119113P. Kamil31661181
LJul 13 · 20:30J. Caban4457111652P. Kamil521111514113
LJul 6 · 16:00J. Caban33116971P. Kamil4291111113
WJun 30 · 15:30J. Caban50119118113P. Kamil4491141192
WMay 12 · 21:00J. Caban43101111113P. Kamil30123781
J. Caban10
WSep 29 · 18:30K. Patryk1.30116871J. Caban3.3081111113LSep 29 · 16:30W. Arkadiusz1.68591111113J. Caban2.0511119932LSep 29 · 16:00J. Caban1.91111112362M. Szostak1.801361011113LSep 23 · 22:30J. Caban2.20981181K. Patryk1.6011118113WSep 23 · 21:00J. Caban1.471311113J. Komorowicz2.3411790WSep 23 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.731114791J. Caban1.4081611113WSep 23 · 17:00K. Kos1.5711118372J. Caban2.20981111113WSep 23 · 16:00L. Buklat2.50121191172J. Caban1.48146115113LSep 23 · 15:30J. Caban2.351740K. Patryk1.531111113LSep 21 · 22:30L. Buklat1.5811612113J. Caban2.254111081
P. Kamil10
LSep 29 · 15:00K. Patryk1.6611117113P. Kamil2.10691151LSep 29 · 14:30W. Arkadiusz1.75118127113P. Kamil1.98511101192WSep 28 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.8571371282P. Kamil1.8511111110113WSep 28 · 20:00D. Kovtanyuk2.501311131262P. Kamil1.471191514113WSep 28 · 19:00P. Kamil1.521111113S. Toborek2.374670LSep 28 · 18:00P. Kamil2.95881191W. Arkadiusz1.3611117113LSep 28 · 16:30P. Kamil2.1595111192L. Buklat1.62111198113WSep 28 · 14:30P. Kamil1.3081111173K. Patryk3.261189151LSep 27 · 23:35L. Buklat1.65811712113P. Kamil2.10116111092WSep 27 · 21:35W. Arkadiusz2.20101050P. Kamil1.601212113
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