TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Wiktor Ptak vs Mariusz Baron 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117114––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
119117114––––
H2H Wiktor Ptak 1–4 Mariusz Baron Wiktor Ptak has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Baron beat Ptak 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baron form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPtak 1.73 / Baron 1.98
TT Elite Series · #13217475
Ptak1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 59 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it83% 47 of 57
Baron1.98
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 191 of 474
Down 0–1, comes back25% 66 of 260
Down 0–2, comes back9% 12 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePtak1wins
AwayBaron4wins
4 of 5 to a deciderBaron leads 4–1, and 4 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePtak25%1 of 4
AwayBaronn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ptak4Baron1n = 5Ptak took 4 of 5
S2Ptak3Baron2n = 5Ptak took 3 of 5
S3Ptak4Baron1n = 5Ptak took 4 of 5
S4Ptak0Baron4n = 4Baron took 4 of 4
S5Ptak0Baron4n = 4Baron took 4 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away480%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricPtakBaronP − BBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match43.845.6−1.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPtakBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 153 vs 875 / 183355.6%47.7%85 / 153 vs 875 / 1833Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PtakPtak 1.73/Baron 1.98
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Ptak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 29 · 09:55W. Ptak47113119132M. Baron51611811153
LSep 1 · 14:20W. Ptak46115119102M. Baron49911611123
LSep 1 · 08:10W. Ptak4581312752M. Baron5411111011113
WJul 22 · 10:10W. Ptak341112113M. Baron2781090
LJul 22 · 07:45W. Ptak4711119972M. Baron47591111113
W. Ptak10
LSep 29 · 14:45O. Jadach1.5781111113W. Ptak2.25116991WSep 29 · 13:30P. Polok1.441113100W. Ptak2.601315123LSep 29 · 11:55S. Juzek2.001111113W. Ptak1.707980LSep 29 · 11:05O. Jadach1.801111113W. Ptak1.856270LSep 29 · 09:55W. Ptak1.80113119132M. Baron1.90611811153WSep 29 · 08:45O. Vincenec2.1511101312112W. Ptak1.627121510133LSep 29 · 07:30P. Polok1.4011117113W. Ptak2.65891191WSep 29 · 05:55S. Juzek—571171W. Ptak—11118113WSep 17 · 14:40L. Oracz1.833650W. Ptak1.831111113LSep 17 · 13:30W. Ptak2.20114100P. Gumulinski1.611311123
M. Baron10
LSep 29 · 16:40P. Polok1.421111113M. Baron2.609680LSep 29 · 13:55S. Juzek1.9011911113M. Baron1.80611561LSep 29 · 13:10O. Jadach1.5711118113M. Baron2.25691191WSep 29 · 11:30O. Vincenec2.007125101M. Baron1.73111011123LSep 29 · 10:40P. Polok1.381171110113M. Baron2.8051191252WSep 29 · 09:55W. Ptak1.80113119132M. Baron1.90611811153WSep 29 · 07:55S. Juzek2.1071111472M. Baron1.65117611113LSep 29 · 07:10O. Vincenec1.901411113M. Baron1.8012980LSep 29 · 05:30O. Jadach1.751151111113M. Baron1.9513119782LSep 28 · 04:40W. Urban1.93101311123M. Baron1.7712116101
Upcoming Matches
W. Ptak
M. Baron
Nothing scheduled
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