TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Oliver Vincenec vs Mariusz Baron 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412119118––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:03 and never touched: 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeMariusz Baron to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
1412119118––––
H2H Oliver Vincenec 21–21 Mariusz Baron Dead even across their 42 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Baron
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
21-21 in 42
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vincenec 1314 vs Baron 1321
Baron
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vincenec 0% vs Baron 20%
Baron
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vincenec 20% vs Baron 40%
Baron
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vincenec -5 · Baron -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Baron) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baron form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 1.90 / Baron 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Baron)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13215150
Vincenec1.90
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog41% won 191 of 468
Down 0–1, comes back25% 70 of 281
Down 0–2, comes back9% 12 of 142
Baron1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 198 of 366
Up 2–0, closes it79% 93 of 118
Up 1–0, closes it66% 141 of 213
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVincenec6wins
AwayBaron4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderVincenec leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVincenec75%3 of 4
AwayBaron50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec4Baron6n = 10Baron took 6 of 10
S2Vincenec4Baron6n = 10Baron took 6 of 10
S3Vincenec5Baron5n = 10split evenly
S4Vincenec6Baron2n = 8Vincenec took 6 of 8
S5Vincenec4Baron2n = 6Vincenec took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVincenecBaronV − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.045.0−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime695 / 1520 vs 873 / 182845.7%47.8%695 / 1520 vs 873 / 1828Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BaronVincenec 1.90/Baron 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Baron · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 29 · 07:10O. Vincenec361411113M. Baron2912980
LSep 28 · 01:55O. Vincenec46131111472M. Baron51156811113
WSep 27 · 19:55O. Vincenec55691411153M. Baron561111129132
LSep 26 · 02:35O. Vincenec381091181M. Baron4212118113
LSep 25 · 16:55O. Vincenec4211741192M. Baron50811119113
WSep 23 · 15:55O. Vincenec43821111113M. Baron4511118782
WSep 23 · 09:55O. Vincenec4111116133M. Baron398911111
LSep 21 · 02:45O. Vincenec2248100M. Baron341111123
WSep 20 · 23:05O. Vincenec511011213153M. Baron551281111132
WSep 8 · 14:20O. Vincenec5611101311113M. Baron4941215992
O. Vincenec10
LSep 29 · 06:20P. Polok1.4511112113O. Vincenec2.55861131LSep 28 · 04:20O. Vincenec2.1510870P. Kurek1.621211113LSep 28 · 03:05O. Vincenec2.15310100W. Urban1.631112123LSep 28 · 01:55O. Vincenec1.98131111472M. Baron1.73156811113LSep 28 · 00:45P. Adamus1.6511118113O. Vincenec2.05591181WSep 27 · 23:55O. Vincenec2.9011119113J. Pruszkowski1.35941171LSep 27 · 22:20O. Vincenec2.20471171P. Adamus1.5711117113LSep 27 · 21:05O. Vincenec2.0569100W. Urban1.701111123WSep 27 · 19:55O. Vincenec1.90691411153M. Baron1.761111129132LSep 27 · 18:45P. Kurek1.701191314113O. Vincenec2.05711111672
M. Baron10
WSep 29 · 07:55S. Juzek2.1071111472M. Baron1.65117611113LSep 29 · 05:30O. Jadach1.751151111113M. Baron1.9513119782LSep 28 · 04:40W. Urban1.93101311123M. Baron1.7712116101LSep 28 · 03:55J. Pruszkowski1.3411119113M. Baron3.10791171WSep 28 · 01:55O. Vincenec1.98131111472M. Baron1.73156811113LSep 28 · 01:10P. Kurek1.551211113M. Baron2.3010380WSep 27 · 23:30P. Adamus1.9061151152M. Baron1.75119119113WSep 27 · 22:40W. Urban1.8571161272M. Baron1.801191110113WSep 27 · 21:55J. Pruszkowski1.401110841M. Baron2.7561211113LSep 27 · 19:55O. Vincenec1.90691411153M. Baron1.761111129132
Upcoming Matches
O. Vincenec
M. Baron
Nothing scheduled
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