TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Oliver Vincenec vs Pawel Polok 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7118111513119119
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
105 points played in total.
Set by set
7118111513119119
H2H Oliver Vincenec 1–3 Pawel Polok Oliver Vincenec has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Polok beat Vincenec 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polok form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 1.81 / Polok 1.90
TT Elite Series · #13217158
Vincenec1.81
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 132 of 243
Up 2–0, closes it85% 58 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it73% 96 of 131
Polok1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog58% won 22 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back40% 6 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVincenec1wins
AwayPolok3wins
3 of 4 to a deciderPolok leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec2Polok2n = 4split evenly
S2Vincenec1Polok3n = 4Polok took 3 of 4
S3Vincenec2Polok2n = 4split evenly
S4Vincenec2Polok2n = 4split evenly
S5Vincenec1Polok2n = 3Polok took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricVincenecPolokV − PBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match44.548.8−4.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecPolokBasisWin rate · lifetime697 / 1525 vs 167 / 26245.7%63.7%697 / 1525 vs 167 / 262Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PolokVincenec 1.81/Polok 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 29 · 06:20O. Vincenec28861131P. Polok3511112113
LSep 1 · 12:15O. Vincenec628101114192P. Polok641112812213
LSep 1 · 08:35O. Vincenec4012117372P. Polok511081111113
WAug 7 · 03:35O. Vincenec48117811113P. Polok4571111882
O. Vincenec10
WSep 29 · 12:45O. Vincenec1.9011116113S. Juzek1.80671181LSep 29 · 11:30O. Vincenec2.007125101M. Baron1.73111011123LSep 29 · 10:20S. Juzek1.8561111113O. Vincenec1.85116761WSep 29 · 09:30O. Jadach1.47111112862O. Vincenec2.451371011113LSep 29 · 08:45O. Vincenec2.1511101312112W. Ptak1.627121510133WSep 29 · 07:10O. Vincenec1.901411113M. Baron1.8012980LSep 29 · 06:20P. Polok1.4511112113O. Vincenec2.55861131LSep 28 · 04:20O. Vincenec2.1510870P. Kurek1.621211113LSep 28 · 03:05O. Vincenec2.15310100W. Urban1.631112123LSep 28 · 01:55O. Vincenec1.98131111472M. Baron1.73156811113
P. Polok10
WSep 29 · 15:05S. Juzek1.9881111852P. Polok1.75116211113LSep 29 · 13:30P. Polok1.441113100W. Ptak2.601315123LSep 29 · 12:20P. Polok1.804980O. Jadach1.901111113WSep 29 · 10:40P. Polok1.381171110113M. Baron2.8051191252LSep 29 · 09:05S. Juzek3.15111199113P. Polok1.3078111162WSep 29 · 08:20O. Jadach2.2551271182P. Polok1.571110119113WSep 29 · 07:30P. Polok1.4011117113W. Ptak2.65891191WSep 29 · 06:20P. Polok1.4511112113O. Vincenec2.55861131WSep 27 · 14:40P. Polok1.731112113S. Szostok2.0041060WSep 27 · 13:05P. Polok1.53131112113Z. Sobkow2.381581061
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