TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Alan Sys vs Martin Vorel 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Alan Sys
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114117511115––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:38 and never touched: 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeAlan Sys to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAlan Sys above · Martin Vorel below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 65 set 4, 11-5 · our read held Alan Sys at 55.5%
65 points played in total.
H2H Alan Sys 5–7 Martin Vorel Alan Sys has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:38What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sys
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Vorel
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sys 1502 vs Vorel 1371
Sys
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sys 20% vs Vorel 40%
Vorel
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sys 20% vs Vorel 40%
Vorel
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sys +1 · Vorel -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Sys) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorel form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSys 1.80 / Vorel 1.91
Signal prob.56% / 45%
Edge (Sys)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13212933
Sys1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Vorel1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog51% won 68 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back31% 22 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSys5wins
AwayVorel5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSys60%3 of 5
AwayVorel60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sys5Vorel5n = 10split evenly
S2Sys5Vorel5n = 10split evenly
S3Sys6Vorel4n = 10Sys took 6 of 10
S4Sys6Vorel3n = 9Sys took 6 of 9
S5Sys1Vorel3n = 4Vorel took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSysVorelS − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.743.6−1.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSysVorelBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 112 vs 400 / 78153.6%51.2%60 / 112 vs 400 / 781Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SysSys 1.80/Vorel 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Sys · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sys won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 29 · 06:45A. Sys3811115113M. Vorel27471151
LJul 29 · 08:30A. Sys4211741192M. Vorel48611119113
LJul 29 · 07:30A. Sys371161191M. Vorel4213117113
LJul 23 · 07:45A. Sys4427171172M. Vorel551111157113
WJul 20 · 17:15A. Sys381611113M. Vorel3214990
LJun 7 · 14:45A. Sys5412252872M. Vorel6910111126113
WJun 5 · 09:00A. Sys46611117113M. Vorel4211981132
WJun 5 · 06:30A. Sys4691211143M. Vorel4011107121
WMay 26 · 06:30A. Sys4513911123M. Vorel4011118101
LMay 9 · 07:30A. Sys27611461M. Vorel4111811113
A. Sys10
WSep 29 · 07:15P. Hlina1.838111091A. Sys1.8311912113WSep 29 · 05:45A. Sys2.38125115113J. Puk1.53101191172LJul 29 · 08:30M. Vorel1.83611119113A. Sys1.8311741192LJul 29 · 07:30A. Sys1.831161191M. Vorel1.8313117113LJul 29 · 06:30A. Sys1.806890O. Plyska1.911111113LJul 29 · 05:30A. Sys1.8381080J. Krojidlo1.831112113LJul 23 · 08:26A. Sys1.8311791152T. Bertho1.83411119113LJul 23 · 07:45M. Vorel1.831111157113A. Sys1.8327171172LJul 23 · 06:45J. Krojidlo3.00111111133A. Sys1.361369111LJul 23 · 05:15T. Bertho1.831112611113A. Sys1.8351411972
M. Vorel10
WSep 29 · 07:45J. Puk1.67881171M. Vorel2.1011119113LSep 29 · 05:15P. Hlina1.5311115113M. Vorel2.38971141LSep 26 · 09:09J. Hanacek1.60116411113M. Vorel2.2081111182WSep 26 · 07:30P. Hlina1.505121011112M. Vorel2.501110129133WSep 26 · 07:00M. Vorel1.80841111113O. Plyska1.9111113762LSep 26 · 06:00M. Vorel2.2578111272J. Hanacek1.571111710113WSep 25 · 08:53J. Puk1.91611491M. Vorel1.8011811113WJul 29 · 08:30M. Vorel1.83611119113A. Sys1.8311741192WJul 29 · 07:30A. Sys1.831161191M. Vorel1.8313117113WJul 23 · 07:45M. Vorel1.831111157113A. Sys1.8327171172
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