TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ivan Kozachuk vs Dmytro Neborak · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts Sep 29, 05:05Scheduled
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Head to head
18 – 4
All 22 meetings · 81.8%
Last 10 · 7–3Same side
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Both players are 5–5 over their last ten. The difference is the direction — Ivan Kozachuk arrives off a win, Dmytro Neborak off a loss, and the streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 17h before this match
Kozachuk beat Neborak 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozachuk 1.36 / Neborak 3.00
Setka Cup · #13212662
Kozachuk1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 113 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it94% 61 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it82% 86 of 105
Neborak3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 117 of 318
Down 0–1, comes back17% 31 of 184
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKozachuk7wins
AwayNeborak3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKozachuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKozachuk75%6 of 8
AwayNeborakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kozachuk8Neborak2n = 10Kozachuk took 8 of 10
S2Kozachuk5Neborak5n = 10split evenly
S3Kozachuk4Neborak6n = 10Neborak took 6 of 10
S4Kozachuk5Neborak3n = 8Kozachuk took 5 of 8
S5Kozachuk2Neborak1n = 3Kozachuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKozachukNeborakK − NBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.735.3+4.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozachukNeborakBasisWin rate · lifetime554 / 1105 vs 313 / 84750.1%37%554 / 1105 vs 313 / 847Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.635.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 28 · 12:35I. Kozachuk45113911113D. Neborak4151111682
LSep 25 · 18:05I. Kozachuk49111112692D. Neborak46821411113
LSep 24 · 22:30I. Kozachuk28116561D. Neborak3631111113
WSep 22 · 10:35I. Kozachuk45111112113D. Neborak39891481
WSep 21 · 16:05I. Kozachuk47111168113D. Neborak4999111192
WJul 21 · 10:25I. Kozachuk44111111113D. Neborak28613631
WJul 20 · 15:55I. Kozachuk4211911113D. Neborak29911451
WJul 17 · 10:50I. Kozachuk4291111113D. Neborak32116781
LJul 17 · 05:50I. Kozachuk2266100D. Neborak341111123
WJul 16 · 15:00I. Kozachuk331111113D. Neborak196490
I. Kozachuk10
WSep 28 · 17:05I. Kozachuk1.1181111113O. Napirko6.00119641LSep 28 · 16:05I. Kozachuk1.8376111162D. Shcherbak1.83111186113LSep 28 · 14:35I. Kozachuk2.3811612682S. Rak1.539111011113WSep 28 · 12:35I. Kozachuk1.33113911113D. Neborak3.2551111682LSep 26 · 10:35D. Pesternikov1.801111113I. Kozachuk1.918690WSep 26 · 09:35I. Kozachuk1.8311412113D. Shcherbak1.837111041WSep 26 · 08:35I. Kozachuk1.401111113R. Haiseniuk2.754380LSep 26 · 07:05I. Kozachuk2.2511112662S. Rak1.57491111113WSep 26 · 05:05I. Kozachuk1.5312811113I. Romaniak2.381011961LSep 25 · 18:05D. Neborak3.50821411113I. Kozachuk1.28111112692
D. Neborak10
LSep 28 · 17:35D. Neborak1.8011614692D. Shcherbak1.914111211113WSep 28 · 15:35S. Rak1.36971171D. Neborak3.0011117113WSep 28 · 13:35I. Romaniak1.83931161D. Neborak1.8311118113LSep 28 · 12:35I. Kozachuk1.33113911113D. Neborak3.2551111682LSep 28 · 02:00S. Rak1.3611118113D. Neborak3.00851181LSep 28 · 01:00D. Neborak1.83951181N. Kovalchuk1.8311116113WSep 28 · 00:00D. Neborak1.831112113R. Lazebnyi1.8381050WSep 27 · 22:30D. Neborak4.3311118123D. Pesternikov1.207911101LSep 27 · 20:30D. Neborak1.67951181O. Napirko2.1011115113WSep 25 · 18:05D. Neborak3.50821411113I. Kozachuk1.28111112692
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