TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Daniel Langer vs Tomas Petrek 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911711––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Langer to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Langer above · Tomas Petrek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 58 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Daniel Langer at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Langer 1–1 Tomas Petrek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Langer beat Petrek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:25What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Langer
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Langer 1720 vs Petrek 1611
Langer
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 60% vs Petrek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 80% vs Petrek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer -1 · Petrek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Langer) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petrek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.57 / Petrek 2.25
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Langer)-4.9pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13212646
Langer1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 92 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it98% 53 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it86% 66 of 77
Petrek2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 14 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back37% 7 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLanger1wins
AwayPetrek1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricLangerPetrekL − PBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match31.532.0−0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerPetrekBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 186 vs 113 / 22466.7%50.5%124 / 186 vs 113 / 224Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerLanger 1.57/Petrek 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Petrek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 28 · 17:30D. Langer259970T. Petrek331111113
WSep 28 · 14:30D. Langer3811115113T. Petrek31751181
D. Langer10
LSep 28 · 16:00A. Walek2.00111211173D. Langer1.738149151WSep 28 · 15:00D. Heczko2.7561111262D. Langer1.40119211113WSep 28 · 14:30D. Langer1.6711115113T. Petrek2.10751181LSep 28 · 13:28D. Langer1.73128161162J. Simecek2.001011185113WSep 28 · 12:00D. Langer2.1011117113J. Simecek1.67841191WSep 28 · 11:30J. Schwan2.63118101162D. Langer1.44711127113WSep 28 · 10:00D. Langer1.801111113L. Martinak1.916480WSep 26 · 21:30D. Langer1.80116911113A. Walek1.9171111452WSep 26 · 20:00D. Machander2.5079100D. Langer1.501111123WSep 26 · 19:00R. Vavrecka2.63119881D. Langer1.4481111113
T. Petrek10
WSep 28 · 16:30D. Heczko2.101212831T. Petrek1.67141011113WSep 28 · 15:30T. Petrek1.73119118113A. Walek2.0081161182LSep 28 · 14:30D. Langer1.6711115113T. Petrek2.10751181WSep 28 · 12:58T. Petrek1.53511118113M. Heczko2.3811861192LSep 28 · 12:00R. Skacelik1.9111711113T. Petrek1.80311851WSep 28 · 11:00M. Heczko2.10145781T. Petrek1.67121111113WSep 28 · 10:30T. Petrek1.73118911143D. Oborny2.00811116122LSep 23 · 17:30J. Levicky2.75812311113T. Petrek1.40111011892WSep 23 · 16:30T. Petrek1.4011711113J. Levicky2.75811971WSep 23 · 15:00T. Petrek1.611115117153D. Heczko2.20517911132
Upcoming Matches
D. Langer
T. Petrek
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