TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Szymon Brud vs Dawid Kotwica 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311811114119––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
1311811114119––
H2H Szymon Brud 16–6 Dawid Kotwica Dawid Kotwica has won 6 of their 22 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Brud beat Kotwica 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brud form (40%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrud 1.35 / Kotwica 2.85
TT Elite Series · #13208680
Brud1.35
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite63% won 144 of 229
Up 2–0, closes it91% 61 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it77% 95 of 124
Kotwica2.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 138 of 388
Down 0–1, comes back19% 42 of 222
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrud7wins
AwayKotwica3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBrud leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrud83.3%5 of 6
AwayKotwica50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brud6Kotwica4n = 10Brud took 6 of 10
S2Brud8Kotwica2n = 10Brud took 8 of 10
S3Brud5Kotwica5n = 10split evenly
S4Brud3Kotwica3n = 6split evenly
S5Brud3Kotwica1n = 4Brud took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrudKotwicaB − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.733.4+6.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrudKotwicaBasisWin rate · lifetime590 / 1131 vs 648 / 157452.2%41.2%590 / 1131 vs 648 / 1574Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.335.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrudBrud 1.35/Kotwica 2.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Brud won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 17:45S. Brud50913611113D. Kotwica47111111592
LAug 30 · 15:25S. Brud30811831D. Kotwica3811511113
LAug 29 · 19:20S. Brud501110811102D. Kotwica41312113123
WMay 20 · 00:10S. Brud331111113D. Kotwica175840
WMay 19 · 21:45S. Brud49951111133D. Kotwica45111157112
WApr 17 · 00:35S. Brud50131196113D. Kotwica48118111172
WApr 16 · 22:10S. Brud331111113D. Kotwica196760
WApr 16 · 16:55S. Brud331111113D. Kotwica218760
LApr 5 · 23:50S. Brud361011781D. Kotwica4112711113
WApr 5 · 21:30S. Brud331111113D. Kotwica175660
S. Brud10
WSep 27 · 22:35A. Linek1.917111171S. Brud1.8011139113WSep 27 · 21:05K. Rudomina1.718660S. Brud2.001111113LSep 27 · 20:30S. Brud1.78691391J. Glanowski1.93111111113LSep 27 · 18:55S. Brud1.8581140A. Linek1.861113113WSep 27 · 17:45S. Brud1.35913611113D. Kotwica2.99111111592LSep 27 · 16:15S. Brud1.757460D. Poloszczanski1.981111113WSep 27 · 15:00S. Brud1.88591211113K. Rudomina1.82111110772LSep 8 · 14:40S. Brud1.60611961B. Sulkowski2.1511711113LSep 8 · 13:05S. Brud1.861110111172A. Sobel1.80512813113LSep 8 · 11:50S. Brud1.8098111142A. Lilien1.90111197113
D. Kotwica10
LSep 27 · 22:55K. Rudomina1.301111113D. Kotwica3.209990LSep 27 · 21:30J. Glanowski1.471111113D. Kotwica2.503250WSep 27 · 20:05D. Kotwica1.38111312113K. Rudomina2.838151091WSep 27 · 18:30D. Poloszczanski1.801113671D. Kotwica1.90131111113LSep 27 · 17:45S. Brud1.35913611113D. Kotwica2.99111111592LSep 27 · 16:55D. Kotwica2.50611641J. Glanowski1.4611911113WSep 27 · 15:50D. Kotwica2.6712111011113A. Linek1.4214612772WSep 26 · 23:20A. Mugowski1.5511811782D. Kotwica2.25811711113LSep 26 · 22:35K. Rudomina1.321111113D. Kotwica3.006960LSep 26 · 22:15D. Kotwica3.60139101182J. Glanowski1.221111127113
Upcoming Matches
S. Brud
D. Kotwica
Nothing scheduled
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