TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Roman Piechnik vs Kacper Adamus 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611711––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:26 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
611611711––––
H2H Roman Piechnik 0–1 Kacper Adamus Roman Piechnik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Adamus beat Piechnik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:26What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (62%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Piechnik 1247 vs Adamus 1348
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Piechnik 20% vs Adamus 40%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Piechnik 20% vs Adamus 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Piechnik +1 · Adamus -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Adamus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPiechnik 2.37 / Adamus 1.45
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Adamus)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13206910
Piechnik2.37
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 9 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Adamus1.45
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 357 of 577
Up 2–0, closes it97% 198 of 204
Up 1–0, closes it80% 287 of 361
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePiechnik0wins
AwayAdamus1wins
Adamus leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPiechnikAdamusP − ABasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match34.040.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPiechnikAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 67 vs 919 / 169234.3%54.3%23 / 67 vs 919 / 1692Avg sets wonper match1.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusPiechnik 2.37/Adamus 1.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.8%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 27 · 11:05R. Piechnik34711791K. Adamus4011711113
R. Piechnik10
WSep 27 · 13:10R. Piechnik2.201611113R. Wojcik1.6014570LSep 27 · 12:20M. Lach1.601111128113R. Piechnik2.2138141192LSep 27 · 11:05R. Piechnik2.55711791K. Adamus1.4411711113LSep 27 · 09:30R. Piechnik2.401468111P. Gumulinski1.50121111133LSep 27 · 08:20R. Piechnik3.205370M. Lach1.311111113WSep 27 · 06:45R. Piechnik3.4011119113P. Jedrzejak1.28991191LSep 27 · 05:30R. Piechnik1.9871170R. Wojcik1.751113113LSep 26 · 13:55R. Piechnik3.254980P. Polok1.331111113LSep 26 · 12:40R. Piechnik2.009111281R. Idaczyk1.7311814113LSep 26 · 11:25R. Piechnik5.503850A. Cichocki1.131111113
K. Adamus10
LSep 27 · 13:30M. Lach1.771112113K. Adamus1.9381080LSep 27 · 11:55P. Jedrzejak2.071281111123K. Adamus1.68141199102WSep 27 · 11:05R. Piechnik2.55711791K. Adamus1.4411711113LSep 27 · 09:55K. Adamus1.8081121192R. Wojcik1.85115118113WSep 27 · 08:45P. Gumulinski1.8881171162K. Adamus1.82117115113LSep 27 · 07:30M. Lach1.9011129113K. Adamus1.807101181LSep 27 · 05:55P. Jedrzejak1.5511912113K. Adamus2.308111071LSep 26 · 08:45K. Adamus1.3761171182R. Adach2.89115117113LSep 26 · 07:10K. Adamus1.687870R. Idaczyk2.051111113WSep 26 · 06:00K. Adamus1.411111143P. Mecik2.7079120
Upcoming Matches
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K. Adamus
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