TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Karol Kufel vs Damian Wasilewski 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118911811117115
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDamian Wasilewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
118911811117115
H2H Karol Kufel 0–1 Damian Wasilewski Karol Kufel has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 7h before this match
Wasilewski beat Kufel 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:07What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Wasilewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kufel 1456 vs Wasilewski 1434
Kufel
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kufel 40% vs Wasilewski 60%
Wasilewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kufel 60% vs Wasilewski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kufel +1 · Wasilewski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wasilewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kufel form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKufel 1.90 / Wasilewski 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wasilewski)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13206486
Kufel1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Wasilewski1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 42 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it85% 22 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it81% 33 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKufel0wins
AwayWasilewski1wins
Wasilewski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKufelWasilewskiK − WBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match29.034.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKufelWasilewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 33 vs 182 / 31157.6%58.5%19 / 33 vs 182 / 311Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.839.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WasilewskiKufel 1.90/Wasilewski 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wasilewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kufel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 27 · 06:25K. Kufel29711561D. Wasilewski3411111113
K. Kufel10
WSep 27 · 12:10B. Mleczko1.9812841162K. Kufel1.731011113113LSep 27 · 10:55G. Kesik1.73511811143K. Kufel1.98115116122WSep 27 · 09:20D. Poloszczanski2.309970K. Kufel1.551111113LSep 27 · 07:40K. Kufel2.50113991A. Wos1.4571111113LSep 27 · 06:25K. Kufel2.00711561D. Wasilewski1.7011111113WSep 27 · 05:15K. Kufel1.9011813113G. Kesik1.808111151WSep 27 · 04:00B. Mleczko1.9063100K. Kufel1.751111123LSep 27 · 03:20K. Kufel—11711882T. Pisarczyk—511711113WSep 20 · 14:15K. Kufel1.4071111113M. Lukaszewski2.75118951WSep 20 · 12:35P. Maruszak2.25561131K. Kufel1.5411115113
D. Wasilewski10
WSep 27 · 11:20D. Poloszczanski3.208117111D. Wasilewski1.3011911133WSep 27 · 10:30B. Mleczko1.80881281D. Wasilewski1.91111110113LSep 27 · 09:00A. Wos1.451111113D. Wasilewski2.507870LSep 27 · 08:05D. Wasilewski1.84131181162G. Kesik1.88155117113WSep 27 · 06:25K. Kufel2.00711561D. Wasilewski1.7011111113LSep 27 · 05:35B. Mleczko1.90121112113D. Wasilewski1.801071461WSep 27 · 04:50D. Wasilewski1.307111111113T. Pisarczyk3.0511813692LSep 27 · 03:40D. Wasilewski1.904680A. Wos1.801111113WSep 6 · 14:15P. Staniszewski2.377650D. Wasilewski1.521111113LSep 6 · 13:25T. Pisarczyk3.10149116133D. Wasilewski1.301211811112
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