TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Gracjan Kesik vs Damian Wasilewski 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118115119––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDamian Wasilewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
118115119––––
H2H Gracjan Kesik 2–2 Damian Wasilewski Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Kesik beat Wasilewski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:08What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Wasilewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kesik 1491 vs Wasilewski 1424
Kesik
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kesik 60% vs Wasilewski 40%
Kesik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kesik 60% vs Wasilewski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kesik +1 · Wasilewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wasilewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wasilewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKesik 1.91 / Wasilewski 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wasilewski)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13206858
Kesik1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 58 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back32% 23 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Wasilewski1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 42 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it85% 22 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it81% 33 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKesik2wins
AwayWasilewski2wins
3 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kesik2Wasilewski2n = 4split evenly
S2Kesik1Wasilewski3n = 4Wasilewski took 3 of 4
S3Kesik2Wasilewski2n = 4split evenly
S4Kesik1Wasilewski2n = 3Wasilewski took 2 of 3
S5Kesik2Wasilewski1n = 3Kesik took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKesikWasilewskiK − WBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match40.044.8−4.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKesikWasilewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime333 / 620 vs 182 / 31253.7%58.3%333 / 620 vs 182 / 312Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WasilewskiKesik 1.91/Wasilewski 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wasilewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kesik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 27 · 08:05G. Kesik49155117113D. Wasilewski49131181162
LMay 2 · 09:20G. Kesik51614811122D. Wasilewski511112113143
WFeb 28 · 14:00G. Kesik44114116123D. Wasilewski46811611102
LJul 12 · 04:15G. Kesik165380D. Wasilewski331111113
G. Kesik10
WSep 27 · 12:35D. Poloszczanski2.95911491G. Kesik1.3511911113LSep 27 · 11:45A. Wos2.52771111113G. Kesik1.4711115382WSep 27 · 10:55G. Kesik1.73511811143K. Kufel1.98115116122LSep 27 · 09:45G. Kesik1.8081611572B. Mleczko1.851114811113WSep 27 · 08:05D. Wasilewski1.84131181162G. Kesik1.88155117113WSep 27 · 07:15T. Pisarczyk2.8511712732G. Kesik1.355111011113LSep 27 · 05:15K. Kufel1.9011813113G. Kesik1.808111151LSep 27 · 04:25A. Wos1.551111113G. Kesik2.254530WSep 27 · 03:00B. Mleczko2.0571111562G. Kesik1.65116711113WSep 20 · 14:10G. Kesik1.83117811113M. Minda1.8351111292
D. Wasilewski10
LSep 27 · 13:25K. Kufel1.90119811113D. Wasilewski1.8081111752WSep 27 · 11:20D. Poloszczanski3.208117111D. Wasilewski1.3011911133WSep 27 · 10:30B. Mleczko1.80881281D. Wasilewski1.91111110113LSep 27 · 09:00A. Wos1.451111113D. Wasilewski2.507870LSep 27 · 08:05D. Wasilewski1.84131181162G. Kesik1.88155117113WSep 27 · 06:25K. Kufel2.00711561D. Wasilewski1.7011111113LSep 27 · 05:35B. Mleczko1.90121112113D. Wasilewski1.801071461WSep 27 · 04:50D. Wasilewski1.307111111113T. Pisarczyk3.0511813692LSep 27 · 03:40D. Wasilewski1.904680A. Wos1.801111113WSep 6 · 14:15P. Staniszewski2.377650D. Wasilewski1.521111113
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