TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Marcin Lach vs Kacper Adamus 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181210118––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 55.0% is still 55.0%
Graded at full timeMarcin Lach to win
55.0%
55.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
1181210118––––
H2H Marcin Lach 1–0 Kacper Adamus Kacper Adamus has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Lach beat Adamus 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 12:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Lach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lach 1493 vs Adamus 1357
Lach
Correct
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lach 100% vs Adamus 40%
Lach
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lach 80% vs Adamus 30%
Lach
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lach +7 · Adamus -1
Lach
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Lach)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLach 1.77 / Adamus 1.93
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Lach)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13206412
Lach1.77
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 122 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it99% 70 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it80% 90 of 112
Adamus1.93
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 85 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLach1wins
AwayAdamus0wins
Lach leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLachAdamusL − ABasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.036.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLachAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime157 / 252 vs 919 / 169162.3%54.4%157 / 252 vs 919 / 1691Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LachLach 1.77/Adamus 1.93
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55%
Lach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 27 · 07:30M. Lach4311129113K. Adamus367101181
M. Lach10
WSep 27 · 12:20M. Lach1.601111128113R. Piechnik2.2138141192WSep 27 · 10:40M. Lach2.0071911113R. Wojcik1.701117971WSep 27 · 09:05P. Jedrzejak1.85611841M. Lach1.8511411113WSep 27 · 08:20R. Piechnik3.205370M. Lach1.311111113WSep 27 · 07:30M. Lach1.9011129113K. Adamus1.807101181WSep 27 · 06:20M. Lach1.8081111113P. Gumulinski1.91117571WSep 26 · 14:40M. Lach1.501111113J. Jesiek2.507180LSep 26 · 13:05M. Lach1.91711671P. Polok1.8011611113WSep 26 · 11:50M. Lach1.281111113R. Idaczyk3.508570LSep 26 · 10:10M. Lach1.61111261172R. Piechnik2.20814116113
K. Adamus10
LSep 27 · 11:55P. Jedrzejak2.071281111123K. Adamus1.68141199102WSep 27 · 11:05R. Piechnik2.55711791K. Adamus1.4411711113LSep 27 · 09:55K. Adamus1.8081121192R. Wojcik1.85115118113WSep 27 · 08:45P. Gumulinski1.8881171162K. Adamus1.82117115113LSep 27 · 07:30M. Lach1.9011129113K. Adamus1.807101181LSep 27 · 05:55P. Jedrzejak1.5511912113K. Adamus2.308111071LSep 26 · 08:45K. Adamus1.3761171182R. Adach2.89115117113LSep 26 · 07:10K. Adamus1.687870R. Idaczyk2.051111113WSep 26 · 06:00K. Adamus1.411111143P. Mecik2.7079120LSep 26 · 04:25K. Adamus1.659590M. Adamus2.051111113
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