TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Oskar Sokolowski vs Roman Wiza 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
13117111136111311
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:06 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeOskar Sokolowski to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
13117111136111311
H2H Oskar Sokolowski 1–2 Roman Wiza Oskar Sokolowski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Wiza beat Sokolowski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:06What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Wiza
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1279 vs Wiza 1310
Wiza
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 20% vs Wiza 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 40% vs Wiza 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski -3 · Wiza -2
Sokolowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wiza) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wiza form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 1.95 / Wiza 1.77
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wiza)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13197740
Sokolowski1.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 76 of 245
Down 0–1, comes back17% 26 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 89
Wiza1.77
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 95 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it91% 49 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it80% 72 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSokolowski1wins
AwayWiza2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderWiza leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokolowski1Wiza2n = 3Wiza took 2 of 3
S2Sokolowski1Wiza2n = 3Wiza took 2 of 3
S3Sokolowski2Wiza1n = 3Sokolowski took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSokolowskiWizaS − WBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match34.034.3−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiWizaBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 387 vs 407 / 93933.9%43.3%131 / 387 vs 407 / 939Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WizaSokolowski 1.95/Wiza 1.77
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wiza · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 25 · 20:20O. Sokolowski268990R. Wiza331111113
WAug 23 · 03:30O. Sokolowski341112113R. Wiza2261060
LAug 22 · 21:30O. Sokolowski4299111122R. Wiza48111169113
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 25 · 22:40O. Sokolowski2.20913111162J. Badura1.581111613113LSep 25 · 21:05D. Fira1.8211811113O. Sokolowski1.88411651LSep 25 · 20:20R. Wiza1.951111113O. Sokolowski1.758990WSep 25 · 19:30O. Sokolowski2.351113123J. Orszulik1.54911100LSep 25 · 18:20O. Sokolowski2.0581450L. Bernacki1.651116113WSep 19 · 16:40J. Badura1.85115611102O. Sokolowski1.80711118123WSep 19 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk1.82611110O. Sokolowski1.881113133LSep 19 · 13:55S. Sojka1.91121011113O. Sokolowski1.801012781WSep 19 · 13:10J. Slawomir1.606960O. Sokolowski2.201111113LSep 19 · 11:30R. Wojcik1.67137911113O. Sokolowski2.10111111662
R. Wiza10
LSep 25 · 23:05R. Wiza2.3065121182J. Orszulik1.531111106113LSep 25 · 21:30R. Wiza2.501110961L. Bernacki1.5091211113WSep 25 · 20:20R. Wiza1.951111113O. Sokolowski1.758990LSep 25 · 18:45R. Wiza1.956131171D. Fira1.7511159113LSep 25 · 17:30R. Wiza2.20109100J. Badura1.571211123LSep 24 · 02:00M. Lebek2.33551211113R. Wiza1.54111110852WSep 24 · 01:10A. Burkacki1.8261141372R. Wiza1.881161111113WSep 24 · 00:25R. Wiza1.65117118113J. Nowak2.1081141192WSep 23 · 22:50R. Wiza1.7891111123O. Sokolowski1.931167101LSep 23 · 22:00K. Hetnar1.421111113R. Wiza2.604570
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