TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Bartlomiej Mrugala vs Adrian Eliasz 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116711911117113
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
116711911117113
H2H Bartlomiej Mrugala 2–2 Adrian Eliasz Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mrugala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Eliasz form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrugala 1.71 / Eliasz 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mrugala)+0.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13196820
Mrugala1.71
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 53 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Eliasz2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 73 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back19% 24 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMrugala2wins
AwayEliasz2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrugala66.7%2 of 3
AwayEliaszn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrugala3Eliasz1n = 4Mrugala took 3 of 4
S2Mrugala3Eliasz1n = 4Mrugala took 3 of 4
S3Mrugala2Eliasz2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMrugalaEliaszM − EBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match37.835.2+2.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrugalaEliaszBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 689 vs 347 / 92646.2%37.5%318 / 689 vs 347 / 926Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrugalaMrugala 1.71/Eliasz 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mrugala · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mrugala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 21 · 22:55B. Mrugala36811891A. Eliasz4011711113
WAug 21 · 20:05B. Mrugala351311113A. Eliasz2811980
LJul 27 · 21:05B. Mrugala47116911102A. Eliasz48711117123
WJul 27 · 16:55B. Mrugala331111113A. Eliasz258980
B. Mrugala10
LSep 25 · 21:05M. Lukaszewski1.95111111113B. Mrugala1.75881391WSep 25 · 18:55B. Mrugala1.951111113P. Strus1.703560WSep 25 · 17:45B. Mrugala2.356101211113D. Szlubowski1.53111210982WSep 25 · 16:15B. Mrugala1.7011811113W. Gluszek2.05711271LSep 25 · 15:00B. Mrugala1.95611991M. Lukaszewski1.7511611113LSep 25 · 00:10B. Mrugala2.70129381J. Glanowski1.41101111113LSep 24 · 23:20B. Mrugala2.0031170J. Rolak1.731113113WSep 24 · 21:55B. Mrugala1.8011115113P. Krukar1.85991191WSep 24 · 21:30B. Mrugala1.9011116123M. Skorski1.759411101WSep 24 · 20:30B. Mrugala1.9711511113J. Rolak1.76811781
A. Eliasz10
LSep 25 · 19:20A. Eliasz1.90881191M. Lukaszewski1.7511114113WSep 25 · 18:10P. Strus2.3511116852A. Eliasz1.50761111113LSep 25 · 16:55D. Szlubowski1.621111113A. Eliasz2.157970LSep 25 · 15:25W. Gluszek1.71111179113A. Eliasz2.0095111152LSep 20 · 19:40D. Kotwica1.7151311113A. Eliasz2.001111881WSep 20 · 18:55K. Kostyk1.3281141192A. Eliasz3.05118119113LSep 20 · 18:10A. Eliasz2.5091141192A. Mugowski1.44118115113WSep 20 · 16:35A. Eliasz1.95141011113W. Gluszek1.741212161LSep 20 · 15:50P. Krukar1.541113113A. Eliasz2.2541160LSep 20 · 14:40B. Wisniewski1.8314128123A. Eliasz1.86121011101
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