TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Skorski vs Jaroslaw Rolak 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Michal Skorski
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118119––––
Jaroslaw Rolak
Away
1.81
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Skorski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
118118119––––
H2H Michal Skorski 19–14 Jaroslaw Rolak Jaroslaw Rolak has won 14 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:07What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.81 (51%)
Rolak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-14 in 33
Skorski
Correct
gap of 5 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skorski 1266 vs Rolak 1286
Rolak
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skorski 60% vs Rolak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skorski 50% vs Rolak 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skorski +1 · Rolak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rolak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkorski 1.90 / Rolak 1.81
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rolak)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13190936
Skorski1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 82 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Rolak1.81
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 136 of 275
Up 2–0, closes it86% 63 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it71% 107 of 150
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkorski4wins
AwayRolak6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRolak leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkorski75%3 of 4
AwayRolak83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skorski4Rolak6n = 10Rolak took 6 of 10
S2Skorski4Rolak6n = 10Rolak took 6 of 10
S3Skorski3Rolak7n = 10Rolak took 7 of 10
S4Skorski3Rolak3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkorskiRolakS − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.339.0−4.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkorskiRolakBasisWin rate · lifetime718 / 1485 vs 647 / 143548.4%45.1%718 / 1485 vs 647 / 1435Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RolakSkorski 1.90/Rolak 1.81
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rolak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skorski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 21:05M. Skorski197750J. Rolak331111113
WSep 22 · 19:20M. Skorski47111276113J. Rolak46710111172
LSep 20 · 07:40M. Skorski2371240J. Rolak361114113
LAug 19 · 24:10M. Skorski364121191J. Rolak4311147113
LAug 18 · 15:00M. Skorski217860J. Rolak331111113
LAug 13 · 23:20M. Skorski52131666112J. Rolak6011141111133
LAug 13 · 20:30M. Skorski217860J. Rolak331111113
WAug 7 · 18:10M. Skorski4211911113J. Rolak34611981
WJul 17 · 01:00M. Skorski3911116113J. Rolak32781161
WJul 16 · 22:35M. Skorski4381212113J. Rolak4011101091
M. Skorski10
LSep 24 · 18:55B. Mrugala1.901111711113M. Skorski1.8067111382WSep 24 · 16:35M. Skorski1.931211113J. Glanowski1.7910860LSep 24 · 15:50P. Krukar1.83111111113M. Skorski1.83561351WSep 23 · 24:10W. Gluszek1.9581080M. Skorski1.741112113LSep 22 · 23:45M. Skorski1.805119101K. Marchlewski1.8611711123WSep 22 · 22:55M. Skorski2.251212113M. Durda1.57101060LSep 22 · 21:05M. Skorski1.717750J. Rolak2.001111113LSep 22 · 20:05M. Durda1.661111113M. Skorski2.104870WSep 22 · 19:20J. Rolak2.00710111172M. Skorski1.70111276113WSep 22 · 17:20K. Marchlewski1.80115981M. Skorski1.8651111113
J. Rolak10
LSep 24 · 16:55P. Krukar1.70314911113J. Rolak1.95111211972WSep 24 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk1.9011115382J. Rolak1.75871111113LSep 22 · 23:20W. Gluszek1.856111111113J. Rolak1.8511138862WSep 22 · 22:35K. Marchlewski2.1266121192J. Rolak1.571111106113WSep 22 · 22:15J. Rolak1.901191212113M. Durda1.80611141042WSep 22 · 21:05M. Skorski1.717750J. Rolak2.001111113WSep 22 · 20:30W. Gluszek1.841165171J. Rolak1.7161111193LSep 22 · 19:20J. Rolak2.00710111172M. Skorski1.70111276113LSep 22 · 18:10D. Szlubowski1.71111111113J. Rolak2.00671361WSep 22 · 17:00M. Durda1.95311641J. Rolak1.7411311113
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