TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Slosarczyk vs Piotr Gumulinski 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Pawel Slosarczyk
Home
3.45
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
311511115119611
Piotr Gumulinski
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:14 and never touched — 78.5% is still 78.5%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
78.5%
78.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
311511115119611
H2H Pawel Slosarczyk 4–13 Piotr Gumulinski Pawel Slosarczyk has won 4 of their 17 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Gumulinski beat Slosarczyk 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:14What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (73%)
Gumulinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-13 in 17
Gumulinski
Correct
gap of 9 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slosarczyk 1272 vs Gumulinski 1566
Gumulinski
Correct
both rated, 294 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slosarczyk 60% vs Gumulinski 80%
Gumulinski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slosarczyk 40% vs Gumulinski 90%
Gumulinski
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slosarczyk -1 · Gumulinski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Gumulinski) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slosarczyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlosarczyk 3.45 / Gumulinski 1.25
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Gumulinski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13189768
Slosarczyk3.45
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 113 of 366
Down 0–1, comes back13% 27 of 215
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 134
Gumulinski1.25
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 356 of 580
Up 2–0, closes it94% 161 of 171
Up 1–0, closes it76% 239 of 314
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlosarczyk2wins
AwayGumulinski8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGumulinski leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlosarczyk16.7%1 of 6
AwayGumulinski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slosarczyk6Gumulinski4n = 10Slosarczyk took 6 of 10
S2Slosarczyk3Gumulinski7n = 10Gumulinski took 7 of 10
S3Slosarczyk1Gumulinski9n = 10Gumulinski took 9 of 10
S4Slosarczyk2Gumulinski6n = 8Gumulinski took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlosarczykGumulinskiS − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.741.3−5.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlosarczykGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime347 / 912 vs 1036 / 182538.1%56.8%347 / 912 vs 1036 / 1825Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiSlosarczyk 3.45/Gumulinski 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.8%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk30611761P. Gumulinski4211911113
WSep 2 · 04:50P. Slosarczyk46111293113P. Gumulinski46910111152
LAug 24 · 05:05P. Slosarczyk35127881P. Gumulinski43101111113
LAug 23 · 20:45P. Slosarczyk25101050P. Gumulinski351212113
LAug 16 · 06:25P. Slosarczyk331110931P. Gumulinski4281211113
LJun 18 · 03:00P. Slosarczyk3511113101P. Gumulinski4591311123
WApr 30 · 03:10P. Slosarczyk43101111113P. Gumulinski35125991
LDec 30 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk501110811102P. Gumulinski44312116123
LDec 26 · 12:05P. Slosarczyk40178691P. Gumulinski48151111113
LNov 12 · 14:30P. Slosarczyk204790P. Gumulinski331111113
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 24 · 14:45P. Kurek1.6011117113P. Slosarczyk2.15671181WSep 24 · 13:30S. Juzek1.75117681P. Slosarczyk1.9581111113WSep 24 · 11:55W. Glanowski2.15781161P. Slosarczyk1.6311113113WSep 24 · 11:05P. Kurek2.411770P. Slosarczyk1.511111113LSep 24 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk3.65611761P. Gumulinski1.2211911113LSep 24 · 08:45J. Pruszkowski1.221111113P. Slosarczyk3.757860LSep 24 · 07:30S. Juzek1.92811119123P. Slosarczyk1.80113911102LSep 24 · 05:55W. Glanowski1.85119711113P. Slosarczyk1.8071111652WSep 23 · 13:55P. Polok1.226380P. Slosarczyk4.001111113LSep 23 · 13:05W. Urban1.3011118153P. Slosarczyk3.408411131
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 24 · 13:55W. Glanowski2.7012891152P. Gumulinski1.401011114113WSep 24 · 13:10P. Kurek3.00115861P. Gumulinski1.3251111113LSep 24 · 11:30J. Pruszkowski1.851111113P. Gumulinski1.806550WSep 24 · 10:40S. Juzek2.753550P. Gumulinski1.401111113WSep 24 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk3.65611761P. Gumulinski1.2211911113WSep 24 · 07:55W. Glanowski2.0111118792P. Gumulinski1.72791111113WSep 24 · 07:10J. Pruszkowski1.94118671P. Gumulinski1.7861111113WSep 24 · 05:30P. Kurek2.7011116101P. Gumulinski1.3713911123WSep 21 · 15:45M. Skuril2.20116881P. Gumulinski1.6181111113WSep 21 · 14:40M. Skuril2.50116881P. Gumulinski1.5081111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Slosarczyk
P. Gumulinski
Sep 24 · 16:40P. Gumulinski1.41S. Juzek2.60—Sep 25 · 03:00P. Gumulinski1.61M. Paszkiewicz2.20—Sep 25 · 04:10P. Gumulinski1.73R. Idaczyk2.00—Sep 25 · 05:40P. Gumulinski1.44S. Juzek2.63—Sep 25 · 06:55P. Gumulinski1.61Z. Sobkow2.20—Sep 25 · 08:35P. Gumulinski1.53K. Jablonski2.38—Sep 25 · 09:50P. Gumulinski1.44S. Juzek2.63—Sep 25 · 10:35P. Gumulinski1.61M. Paszkiewicz2.20—Sep 25 · 13:05P. Gumulinski1.61Z. Sobkow2.20—Sep 25 · 13:55P. Gumulinski1.73R. Idaczyk2.00—
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