TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Svec vs Vojtech Stach 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811119114117––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Svec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Svec above · Vojtech Stach below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 72 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Jiri Svec at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Svec 3–1 Vojtech Stach Vojtech Stach has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:53What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Stach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Svec
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svec 1193 vs Stach 1202
Stach
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svec 40% vs Stach 20%
Svec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svec 30% vs Stach 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svec -2 · Stach +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stach form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvec 1.83 / Stach 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Svec)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13189356
Svec1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Stach1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSvec3wins
AwayStach1wins
3 of 4 to a deciderSvec leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvec66.7%2 of 3
AwayStachn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svec3Stach1n = 4Svec took 3 of 4
S2Svec2Stach2n = 4split evenly
S3Svec2Stach2n = 4split evenly
S4Svec2Stach2n = 4split evenly
S5Svec2Stach1n = 3Svec took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSvecStachSvec − StachBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match48.245.2+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvecStachBasisWin rate · lifetime386 / 834 vs 71 / 13946.3%51.1%386 / 834 vs 71 / 139Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvecSvec 1.83/Stach 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Svec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Svec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 24 · 20:58J. Svec4312811123V. Stach3810117101
WSep 24 · 20:30J. Svec49911711113V. Stach4311811672
LSep 15 · 14:00J. Svec51181011752V. Stach571612711113
WSep 11 · 15:00J. Svec50111198113V. Stach4376111182
J. Svec10
WSep 25 · 17:02V. Stach2.10871161J. Svec1.6711119113LSep 25 · 15:00J. Svec2.2591080M. Lubas1.571112113LSep 25 · 14:00L. Havrda1.911113113J. Svec1.8081190WSep 24 · 20:58J. Svec1.9112811123V. Stach1.8010117101WSep 24 · 20:30J. Svec1.80911711113V. Stach1.9111811672LSep 24 · 19:00J. Svec2.509111141M. Varcl1.5011139113LSep 24 · 18:00J. Grohsgott1.73119137113J. Svec2.00811111122LSep 20 · 20:59M. Syroha1.801113133J. Svec1.91511110LSep 20 · 20:30M. Lubas1.7311117113J. Svec2.00591131WSep 20 · 19:30J. Svec1.9171111113J. Grohsgott1.80117681
V. Stach10
LSep 25 · 17:02V. Stach2.10871161J. Svec1.6711119113WSep 25 · 15:30V. Stach1.83125116113L. Havrda1.83101161132LSep 25 · 14:30M. Lubas1.911110118143V. Stach1.80912911122LSep 24 · 20:58J. Svec1.9112811123V. Stach1.8010117101LSep 24 · 20:30J. Svec1.80911711113V. Stach1.9111811672LSep 24 · 19:30V. Stach2.254760J. Grohsgott1.571111113LSep 24 · 18:30M. Varcl1.671111113V. Stach2.106490LSep 20 · 13:09V. Stach1.679131091J. Cernik2.10111112113LSep 20 · 12:00M. Syroha2.50711138113V. Stach1.50119111142LSep 20 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.00711211113V. Stach1.7311211982
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