TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vojtech Stach vs Jiri Svec 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811711119611––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingVojtech Stach above · Jiri Svec below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-9
Point 71 set 4, 5-9
71 points drawn · the score is 3 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Vojtech Stach 1–4 Jiri Svec Vojtech Stach has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Svec beat Stach 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Svec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stach form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStach 2.10 / Svec 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Svec)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13195824
Stach2.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 24 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back18% 5 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Svec1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite61% won 51 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it79% 38 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeStach1wins
AwaySvec4wins
3 of 5 to a deciderSvec leads 4–1, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStachn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySvec66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stach2Svec3n = 5Svec took 3 of 5
S2Stach2Svec3n = 5Svec took 3 of 5
S3Stach2Svec3n = 5Svec took 3 of 5
S4Stach2Svec3n = 5Svec took 3 of 5
S5Stach1Svec2n = 3Svec took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricStachSvecStach − SvecBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match42.446.8−4.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStachSvecBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 140 vs 387 / 83550.7%46.4%71 / 140 vs 387 / 835Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvecStach 2.10/Svec 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Svec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Svec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 25 · 16:30V. Stach31119471J. Svec4181111113
LSep 24 · 20:58V. Stach3810117101J. Svec4312811123
LSep 24 · 20:30V. Stach4311811672J. Svec49911711113
WSep 15 · 14:00V. Stach571612711113J. Svec51181011752
LSep 11 · 15:00V. Stach4376111182J. Svec50111198113
V. Stach10
LSep 25 · 16:30J. Svec1.8381111113V. Stach1.83119471WSep 25 · 15:30V. Stach1.83125116113L. Havrda1.83101161132LSep 25 · 14:30M. Lubas1.911110118143V. Stach1.80912911122LSep 24 · 20:58J. Svec1.9112811123V. Stach1.8010117101LSep 24 · 20:30J. Svec1.80911711113V. Stach1.9111811672LSep 24 · 19:30V. Stach2.254760J. Grohsgott1.571111113LSep 24 · 18:30M. Varcl1.671111113V. Stach2.106490LSep 20 · 13:09V. Stach1.679131091J. Cernik2.10111112113LSep 20 · 12:00M. Syroha2.50711138113V. Stach1.50119111142LSep 20 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.00711211113V. Stach1.7311211982
J. Svec10
WSep 25 · 16:30J. Svec1.8381111113V. Stach1.83119471LSep 25 · 15:00J. Svec2.2591080M. Lubas1.571112113LSep 25 · 14:00L. Havrda1.911113113J. Svec1.8081190WSep 24 · 20:58J. Svec1.9112811123V. Stach1.8010117101WSep 24 · 20:30J. Svec1.80911711113V. Stach1.9111811672LSep 24 · 19:00J. Svec2.509111141M. Varcl1.5011139113LSep 24 · 18:00J. Grohsgott1.73119137113J. Svec2.00811111122LSep 20 · 20:59M. Syroha1.801113133J. Svec1.91511110LSep 20 · 20:30M. Lubas1.7311117113J. Svec2.00591131WSep 20 · 19:30J. Svec1.9171111113J. Grohsgott1.80117681
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