TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Mateusz Galus vs Bartosz Fraczek 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Mateusz Galus
Home
1.39
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111113115611––
Bartosz Fraczek
Away
2.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
9111113115611––
H2H Mateusz Galus 5–1 Bartosz Fraczek Bartosz Fraczek has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Galus beat Fraczek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Galus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fraczek form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGalus 1.39 / Fraczek 2.80
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Galus)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13189071
Galus1.39
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 133 of 235
Up 2–0, closes it99% 70 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it79% 99 of 126
Fraczek2.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeGalus5wins
AwayFraczek1wins
Galus leads 5–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGalus100%4 of 4
AwayFraczekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Galus4Fraczek2n = 6Galus took 4 of 6
S2Galus5Fraczek1n = 6Galus took 5 of 6
S3Galus4Fraczek2n = 6Galus took 4 of 6
S4Galus3Fraczek1n = 4Galus took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricGalusFraczekG − FBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match36.531.8+4.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGalusFraczekBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 678 vs 46 / 9353.2%49.5%361 / 678 vs 46 / 93Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GalusGalus 1.39/Fraczek 2.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68%
Galus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fraczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 24 · 08:30M. Galus4214116113B. Fraczek341241171
WAug 7 · 11:35M. Galus4181111113B. Fraczek34118781
WJul 13 · 19:05M. Galus4114115113B. Fraczek381271181
LMar 15 · 10:00M. Galus26471141B. Fraczek4011117113
WMar 14 · 21:30M. Galus361114113B. Fraczek2781270
WFeb 16 · 18:05M. Galus331111113B. Fraczek182880
M. Galus10
LSep 24 · 12:00J. Masternak3.081211143M. Galus1.33108120LSep 24 · 10:30M. Galus2.34521181P. Gola1.5411118113WSep 24 · 08:30B. Fraczek2.601241171M. Galus1.4114116113LSep 24 · 06:30S. Wloszek2.4011911113M. Galus1.50711781LSep 24 · 05:30M. Lysakowski1.66141211113M. Galus2.101214471WSep 23 · 13:40D. Stapor2.126730M. Galus1.571111113LSep 23 · 11:30M. Galus1.6511611872D. Stapor2.10511711113WSep 23 · 09:30S. Radlo2.101111771M. Galus1.6513611113WSep 23 · 08:30M. Galus1.521111123M. Stepien2.3579100WSep 23 · 07:30B. Molka2.1045111142M. Galus1.65111178113
B. Fraczek10
WSep 24 · 11:30B. Fraczek2.251213113P. Gola1.57101180LSep 24 · 09:30S. Wloszek1.681111113B. Fraczek2.058380LSep 24 · 08:30B. Fraczek2.601241171M. Galus1.4114116113LSep 24 · 07:30M. Lysakowski1.391161113113B. Fraczek2.8091181592LSep 24 · 07:00B. Fraczek1.7011911782J. Masternak2.05911611113WApr 27 · 12:40B. Molka—128129112B. Fraczek—10111011133LApr 27 · 11:30B. Fraczek—5470B. Molka—1111113LApr 27 · 09:30M. Lysakowski—1111113B. Fraczek—8560LApr 27 · 08:30B. Fraczek1.6759110S. Radlo2.031111133LApr 27 · 07:30P. Gola1.7251111113B. Fraczek1.97117871
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