TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mikolaj Lukaszewski vs Rafal Stapor 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Home
1.81
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411117911111––
Rafal Stapor
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
411117911111––
H2H Mikolaj Lukaszewski 16–24 Rafal Stapor Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 16 of their 40 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stapor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukaszewski 1.81 / Stapor 1.90
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stapor)+5.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13188090
Lukaszewski1.81
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 92 of 167
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it82% 75 of 92
Stapor1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 103 of 290
Down 0–1, comes back17% 30 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukaszewski3wins
AwayStapor7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStapor leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukaszewski42.9%3 of 7
AwayStapor100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukaszewski7Stapor3n = 10Lukaszewski took 7 of 10
S2Lukaszewski2Stapor8n = 10Stapor took 8 of 10
S3Lukaszewski2Stapor8n = 10Stapor took 8 of 10
S4Lukaszewski3Stapor4n = 7Stapor took 4 of 7
S5Lukaszewski1Stapor2n = 3Stapor took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukaszewskiStaporL − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.340.6−5.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukaszewskiStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime907 / 2006 vs 696 / 123245.2%56.5%907 / 2006 vs 696 / 1232Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporLukaszewski 1.81/Stapor 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 04:30M. Lukaszewski30117841R. Stapor4291111113
WSep 22 · 08:10M. Lukaszewski3811511113R. Stapor33811771
LSep 21 · 08:10M. Lukaszewski5014117992R. Stapor541291111113
WSep 3 · 03:25M. Lukaszewski44111111113R. Stapor37713891
LJun 11 · 10:10M. Lukaszewski2274110R. Stapor351111133
WJun 10 · 04:30M. Lukaszewski49117911113R. Stapor4391111842
LMay 27 · 07:05M. Lukaszewski33117871R. Stapor4291111113
LMay 27 · 04:35M. Lukaszewski164660R. Stapor331111113
LMay 21 · 12:35M. Lukaszewski2211380R. Stapor351311113
LMay 19 · 10:55M. Lukaszewski49111198102R. Stapor52991111123
M. Lukaszewski10
WSep 24 · 06:30B. Wisniewski2.40791113102M. Lukaszewski1.501111911123LSep 24 · 05:40W. Iwasyszyn1.85121111113M. Lukaszewski1.801013871LSep 24 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski1.9591111101A. Mugowski1.7011135123WSep 24 · 03:50M. Lukaszewski1.851114113F. Krcil1.8541280LSep 23 · 08:10B. Czerwinski1.4791111113M. Lukaszewski2.45116771LSep 23 · 07:20M. Zwolinski1.9511911113M. Lukaszewski1.75911791WSep 23 · 05:15A. Szoltysek1.809570M. Lukaszewski1.901111113LSep 23 · 04:30R. Stapor1.4091111113M. Lukaszewski2.65117841WSep 23 · 03:00W. Iwasyszyn1.8051170M. Lukaszewski1.901113113WSep 22 · 08:10R. Stapor1.40811771M. Lukaszewski2.7511511113
R. Stapor10
LSep 24 · 09:50R. Stapor1.851011116112A. Mugowski1.80128711133WSep 24 · 07:20A. Mugowski2.206790R. Stapor1.601111113WSep 24 · 05:15B. Wisniewski3.10711981R. Stapor1.3311611113LSep 24 · 04:30F. Krcil2.101112143R. Stapor1.65910120LSep 24 · 03:00W. Iwasyszyn2.3511711113R. Stapor1.52811861LSep 23 · 14:40A. Szoltysek2.55111110113R. Stapor1.45771251LSep 23 · 13:30R. Stapor1.822590M. Minda1.881111113WSep 23 · 12:30M. Zwolinski3.30461191R. Stapor1.2911119113WSep 23 · 04:30R. Stapor1.4091111113M. Lukaszewski2.65117841LSep 22 · 08:10R. Stapor1.40811771M. Lukaszewski2.7511511113
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