TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Wojciech Iwasyszyn vs Rafal Stapor 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Wojciech Iwasyszyn
Home
2.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118711118116––
Rafal Stapor
Away
1.52
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:11 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Stapor to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
118711118116––
H2H Wojciech Iwasyszyn 10–14 Rafal Stapor Wojciech Iwasyszyn has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 18h before this match
Stapor beat Iwasyszyn 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (61%)
Stapor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-14 in 24
Stapor
Wrong
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Iwasyszyn 1242 vs Stapor 1459
Stapor
Wrong
both rated, 217 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Iwasyszyn 20% vs Stapor 40%
Stapor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Iwasyszyn 20% vs Stapor 60%
Stapor
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Iwasyszyn +1 · Stapor -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (40%) is below what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIwasyszyn 2.35 / Stapor 1.52
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Stapor)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13184550
Iwasyszyn2.35
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 87 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back32% 41 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 55
Stapor1.52
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 386 of 615
Up 2–0, closes it96% 196 of 205
Up 1–0, closes it81% 295 of 366
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIwasyszyn4wins
AwayStapor6wins
7 of 10 to a deciderStapor leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIwasyszynn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayStapor75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Iwasyszyn2Stapor8n = 10Stapor took 8 of 10
S2Iwasyszyn6Stapor4n = 10Iwasyszyn took 6 of 10
S3Iwasyszyn2Stapor8n = 10Stapor took 8 of 10
S4Iwasyszyn4Stapor3n = 7Iwasyszyn took 4 of 7
S5Iwasyszyn4Stapor3n = 7Iwasyszyn took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricIwasyszynStaporI − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.242.7−3.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIwasyszynStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime531 / 1058 vs 694 / 122850.2%56.5%531 / 1058 vs 694 / 1228Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporIwasyszyn 2.35/Stapor 1.52
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.9%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Iwasyszyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 09:25W. Iwasyszyn177550R. Stapor331111113
LSep 23 · 06:55W. Iwasyszyn4161111852R. Stapor48118711113
LSep 15 · 08:35W. Iwasyszyn3561131142R. Stapor49119117113
WSep 14 · 06:55W. Iwasyszyn53161187113R. Stapor46142111182
LAug 28 · 14:20W. Iwasyszyn2611960R. Stapor351311113
LJun 2 · 10:05W. Iwasyszyn30711120R. Stapor381113143
WJun 2 · 05:50W. Iwasyszyn44911211113R. Stapor4311611782
WJun 2 · 03:20W. Iwasyszyn49911117113R. Stapor4511971172
LMay 22 · 11:20W. Iwasyszyn4591251182R. Stapor471110114113
WMay 22 · 06:40W. Iwasyszyn521161211123R. Stapor43611142102
W. Iwasyszyn10
WSep 23 · 13:55W. Iwasyszyn1.881211113M. Zwolinski1.7310390LSep 23 · 12:50W. Iwasyszyn3.8211129121J. Zochniak1.2291411143LSep 23 · 11:25W. Iwasyszyn3.55511971M. Minda1.1811911113LSep 23 · 10:10A. Szoltysek1.851111113W. Iwasyszyn1.759960LSep 23 · 09:25W. Iwasyszyn3.007550R. Stapor1.321111113WSep 23 · 08:35W. Iwasyszyn1.9311115143M. Zwolinski1.788811121LSep 23 · 06:55W. Iwasyszyn1.6661111852R. Stapor2.11118711113LSep 23 · 05:40W. Iwasyszyn3.3085100B. Czerwinski1.271111123LSep 23 · 04:10W. Iwasyszyn1.76711991A. Szoltysek1.9011911113LSep 23 · 03:00W. Iwasyszyn1.8051170M. Lukaszewski1.901113113
R. Stapor10
LSep 23 · 14:40A. Szoltysek2.55111110113R. Stapor1.45771251LSep 23 · 13:30R. Stapor1.822590M. Minda1.881111113WSep 23 · 12:30M. Zwolinski3.30461191R. Stapor1.2911119113LSep 23 · 11:00J. Zochniak1.41911913113R. Stapor2.70114111192WSep 23 · 09:25W. Iwasyszyn3.007550R. Stapor1.321111113WSep 23 · 07:40A. Szoltysek2.65121050R. Stapor1.401412113WSep 23 · 06:55W. Iwasyszyn1.6661111852R. Stapor2.11118711113LSep 23 · 06:05R. Stapor1.301291171M. Zwolinski3.05101113113WSep 23 · 04:30R. Stapor1.4091111113M. Lukaszewski2.65117841WSep 23 · 03:50B. Czerwinski1.521110781R. Stapor2.3091211113
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