TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Michal Lysakowski vs Bartosz Fraczek 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Michal Lysakowski
Home
1.39
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1196111181315119
Bartosz Fraczek
Away
2.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:20 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeMichal Lysakowski to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
104 points played in total.
Set by set
1196111181315119
H2H Michal Lysakowski 2–1 Bartosz Fraczek Bartosz Fraczek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:20What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.39 (67%)
Lysakowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysakowski 1744 vs Fraczek 1544
Lysakowski
Correct
both rated, 201 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysakowski 100% vs Fraczek 20%
Lysakowski
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysakowski 80% vs Fraczek 40%
Lysakowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysakowski +6 · Fraczek -1
Lysakowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Lysakowski) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fraczek form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysakowski 1.39 / Fraczek 2.80
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Lysakowski)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13187841
Lysakowski1.39
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 188 of 332
Up 2–0, closes it93% 117 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it76% 159 of 209
Fraczek2.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeLysakowski2wins
AwayFraczek1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderLysakowski leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysakowski66.7%2 of 3
AwayFraczekn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysakowski3Fraczek0n = 3Lysakowski took 3 of 3
S2Lysakowski2Fraczek1n = 3Lysakowski took 2 of 3
S3Lysakowski2Fraczek1n = 3Lysakowski took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricLysakowskiFraczekL − FBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match38.334.3+4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysakowskiFraczekBasisWin rate · lifetime664 / 1324 vs 82 / 16050.2%51.3%664 / 1324 vs 82 / 160Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysakowskiLysakowski 1.39/Fraczek 2.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.8%
Lysakowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lysakowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WApr 27 · 09:30M. Lysakowski331111113B. Fraczek198560
WAug 30 · 19:05M. Lysakowski4011117113B. Fraczek35881181
LMar 22 · 11:05M. Lysakowski4211812472B. Fraczek496111011113
M. Lysakowski10
WSep 24 · 05:30M. Lysakowski1.66141211113M. Galus2.101214471WSep 22 · 13:40M. Lysakowski1.36111110113B. Molka2.90691271WSep 22 · 11:30S. Radlo2.37113381M. Lysakowski1.5251111113WSep 22 · 10:30M. Stepien1.8834111152M. Lysakowski1.82111168113WSep 22 · 09:00D. Stapor2.10129961M. Lysakowski1.66101111113WSep 22 · 07:00S. Wloszek2.40812781M. Lysakowski1.50111011113LSep 22 · 05:00B. Molka2.251451111143M. Lysakowski1.541211913122LSep 21 · 13:30D. Stapor2.0512117113M. Lysakowski1.701061151WSep 21 · 12:00M. Lysakowski1.391111123S. Radlo2.8086100WSep 21 · 10:00S. Wloszek2.6014118121M. Lysakowski1.4416911143
B. Fraczek10
LSep 24 · 07:00B. Fraczek1.7011911782J. Masternak2.05911611113WApr 27 · 12:40B. Molka—128129112B. Fraczek—10111011133LApr 27 · 11:30B. Fraczek—5470B. Molka—1111113LApr 27 · 09:30M. Lysakowski—1111113B. Fraczek—8560LApr 27 · 08:30B. Fraczek1.6759110S. Radlo2.031111133LApr 27 · 07:30P. Gola1.7251111113B. Fraczek1.97117871WApr 27 · 06:00B. Fraczek1.8311138113J. Masternak1.849111191LApr 26 · 23:45B. Fraczek—4780J. Masternak—1111113WApr 26 · 21:35D. Stapor1.585168101B. Fraczek2.18111411123WApr 26 · 20:35S. Radlo1.601101161B. Fraczek2.1581113113
Upcoming Matches
M. Lysakowski
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