TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Bartosz Fraczek vs Jan Masternak 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Bartosz Fraczek
Home
1.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119911116711811
Jan Masternak
Away
2.05
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:10 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeBartosz Fraczek to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
119911116711811
H2H Bartosz Fraczek 18–11 Jan Masternak Jan Masternak has won 11 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (55%)
Fraczek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-11 in 29
Fraczek
Wrong
gap of 7 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fraczek 1538 vs Masternak 1497
Fraczek
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fraczek 20% vs Masternak 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fraczek 50% vs Masternak 20%
Fraczek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fraczek +1 · Masternak -3
Masternak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Fraczek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masternak form (20%) is below what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFraczek 1.70 / Masternak 2.05
Signal prob.56% / 45%
Edge (Fraczek)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13187823
Fraczek1.70
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 150 days ago (Apr 27) · back after a break
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Masternak2.05
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 102 of 245
Down 0–1, comes back24% 34 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFraczek7wins
AwayMasternak3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFraczek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFraczek75%3 of 4
AwayMasternak33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fraczek4Masternak6n = 10Masternak took 6 of 10
S2Fraczek7Masternak3n = 10Fraczek took 7 of 10
S3Fraczek5Masternak5n = 10split evenly
S4Fraczek5Masternak2n = 7Fraczek took 5 of 7
S5Fraczek2Masternak1n = 3Fraczek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFraczekMasternakF − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.136.6+3.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFraczekMasternakBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 160 vs 408 / 94051.3%43.4%82 / 160 vs 408 / 940Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FraczekFraczek 1.70/Masternak 2.05
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.5%
Fraczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Masternak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 07:00B. Fraczek4611911782J. Masternak48911611113
WApr 27 · 06:00B. Fraczek4311138113J. Masternak409111191
LApr 26 · 23:45B. Fraczek194780J. Masternak331111113
WApr 26 · 16:05B. Fraczek45121111113J. Masternak33146581
WApr 25 · 13:45B. Fraczek45111310113J. Masternak345111261
LApr 25 · 12:35B. Fraczek258980J. Masternak331111113
WNov 9 · 16:30B. Fraczek331111113J. Masternak227690
WOct 5 · 18:15B. Fraczek50811119113J. Masternak4211591162
WOct 5 · 15:35B. Fraczek514111312113J. Masternak43114151032
WOct 4 · 08:30B. Fraczek4491111133J. Masternak381197111
B. Fraczek10
LSep 24 · 07:30M. Lysakowski1.391161113113B. Fraczek2.8091181592WApr 27 · 12:40B. Molka—128129112B. Fraczek—10111011133LApr 27 · 11:30B. Fraczek—5470B. Molka—1111113LApr 27 · 09:30M. Lysakowski—1111113B. Fraczek—8560LApr 27 · 08:30B. Fraczek1.6759110S. Radlo2.031111133LApr 27 · 07:30P. Gola1.7251111113B. Fraczek1.97117871WApr 27 · 06:00B. Fraczek1.8311138113J. Masternak1.849111191LApr 26 · 23:45B. Fraczek—4780J. Masternak—1111113WApr 26 · 21:35D. Stapor1.585168101B. Fraczek2.18111411123WApr 26 · 20:35S. Radlo1.601101161B. Fraczek2.1581113113
J. Masternak10
LSep 24 · 06:00J. Masternak2.3711160P. Gola1.521311113LSep 6 · 22:35J. Masternak—1111138102D. Stapor—741511123LSep 6 · 21:05J. Masternak3.309460M. Stepien1.301111113WSep 6 · 19:35J. Masternak2.301111113D. Stapor1.504970LSep 6 · 18:05J. Masternak1.831071551S. Wloszek1.83121113113LSep 6 · 16:35J. Masternak1.95116451B. Molka1.7491111113LSep 6 · 15:05J. Masternak2.805840M. Ovcharenko1.351111113LSep 5 · 14:15D. Skvarskyi1.5711915113J. Masternak2.288111361LApr 27 · 06:00B. Fraczek1.8311138113J. Masternak1.849111191WApr 26 · 23:45B. Fraczek—4780J. Masternak—1111113
Upcoming Matches
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