TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lukasz Buklat vs Jakub Komorowicz 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Lukasz Buklat
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1181315911811––
Jakub Komorowicz
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:22 and never touched — 59.6% is still 59.6%
Graded at full timeLukasz Buklat to win
59.6%
59.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
1181315911811––
H2H Lukasz Buklat 21–11 Jakub Komorowicz Jakub Komorowicz has won 11 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:22What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Buklat
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-11 in 32
Buklat
Wrong
gap of 10 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buklat 1519 vs Komorowicz 1372
Buklat
Wrong
both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buklat 80% vs Komorowicz 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buklat 80% vs Komorowicz 50%
Buklat
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Buklat +1 · Komorowicz +4
Komorowicz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Buklat) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komorowicz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuklat 1.40 / Komorowicz 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Buklat)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13184557
Buklat1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 68 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it79% 50 of 63
Komorowicz2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 86 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back23% 27 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuklat6wins
AwayKomorowicz4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBuklat leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuklat83.3%5 of 6
AwayKomorowicz75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buklat6Komorowicz4n = 10Buklat took 6 of 10
S2Buklat5Komorowicz5n = 10split evenly
S3Buklat7Komorowicz3n = 10Buklat took 7 of 10
S4Buklat6Komorowicz3n = 9Buklat took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuklatKomorowiczB − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.739.9+2.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuklatKomorowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 445 vs 231 / 51257.5%45.1%256 / 445 vs 231 / 512Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuklatBuklat 1.40/Komorowicz 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.7%
Buklat · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Komorowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 19:00L. Buklat4311912113J. Komorowicz349111041
WAug 31 · 19:00L. Buklat3811115113J. Komorowicz30851161
LAug 26 · 22:40L. Buklat4787131182J. Komorowicz501111116113
WAug 26 · 15:30L. Buklat371115113J. Komorowicz2671360
LAug 24 · 21:00L. Buklat4011711111J. Komorowicz4691113133
WAug 17 · 18:30L. Buklat4411912123J. Komorowicz3981110101
LAug 15 · 15:05L. Buklat547111112132J. Komorowicz54117714153
LAug 7 · 09:00L. Buklat343147101J. Komorowicz46111211123
WAug 3 · 15:30L. Buklat4181111113J. Komorowicz29112881
WJul 27 · 14:30L. Buklat49161011123J. Komorowicz4514129101
L. Buklat10
WSep 23 · 16:30P. Kedzierski3.10118661L. Buklat1.3351111113LSep 23 · 16:00L. Buklat2.50121191172J. Caban1.48146115113WSep 21 · 22:30L. Buklat1.5811612113J. Caban2.254111081WSep 21 · 20:00D. Kovtanyuk2.25511110L. Buklat1.541113133WSep 21 · 19:00L. Buklat1.54111568113J. Caban2.25613111122WSep 21 · 18:00L. Buklat1.8671112143K. Patryk1.8011410121WSep 21 · 16:30L. Buklat1.831211113M. Michta1.8610650WSep 21 · 14:30L. Buklat1.85118611113K. Kos1.8561111682WSep 14 · 19:30L. Buklat—1111113K. Kos—8380LSep 14 · 19:00L. Buklat1.667520K. Kos2.051111113
J. Komorowicz10
WSep 23 · 15:00K. Kos1.501191291J. Komorowicz2.4071114113WSep 23 · 14:30P. Kedzierski2.05771112102J. Komorowicz1.701111810123WSep 22 · 21:30J. Komorowicz—81112123D. Kovtanyuk—11410101WSep 22 · 20:00J. Komorowicz1.8211119113P. Kedzierski1.88991191LSep 22 · 18:30J. Komorowicz1.959860M. Szostak1.741111113LSep 22 · 17:00J. Komorowicz1.85911119102D. Kovtanyuk1.85119911123WSep 22 · 15:00J. Komorowicz2.38911139113K. Patryk1.41118111192LSep 22 · 14:00J. Komorowicz2.257820K. Kos1.541111113LSep 15 · 21:40J. Komorowicz2.15101214892F. Baranski1.6312101211113LSep 15 · 20:30W. Arkadiusz1.411111183J. Komorowicz2.6099160
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