TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Daniel Langer vs Adrian Walek 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711511––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Langer to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Langer above · Adrian Walek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Daniel Langer at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Langer 3–5 Adrian Walek Daniel Langer has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Langer beat Walek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:05What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (55%)
Langer
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Walek
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Langer 1695 vs Walek 1623
Langer
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 100% vs Walek 60%
Langer
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 70% vs Walek 50%
Langer
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer +5 · Walek -1
Langer
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Langer) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Walek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.68 / Walek 2.05
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Langer)-0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13201382
Langer1.68
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 88 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it98% 52 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it85% 64 of 75
Walek2.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 82 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back34% 27 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back16% 6 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeLanger3wins
AwayWalek5wins
2 of 8 to a deciderWalek leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLangern = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayWalek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer2Walek6n = 8Walek took 6 of 8
S2Langer2Walek6n = 8Walek took 6 of 8
S3Langer5Walek3n = 8Langer took 5 of 8
S4Langer4Walek3n = 7Langer took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricLangerWalekL − WBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match37.439.0−1.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerWalekBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 174 vs 232 / 46066.7%50.4%116 / 174 vs 232 / 460Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerLanger 1.68/Walek 2.05
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.6%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Walek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 26 · 16:30D. Langer3911611113A. Walek30711661
LSep 25 · 14:00D. Langer2310580A. Walek341211113
LSep 19 · 07:00D. Langer35117981A. Walek3961111113
LSep 8 · 15:00D. Langer46471111132A. Walek50111176153
WSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer49791111113A. Walek4411116972
WSep 2 · 17:30D. Langer3961111113A. Walek29115581
LSep 2 · 16:30D. Langer34711971A. Walek4211911113
LAug 26 · 12:00D. Langer34851381A. Walek44111111113
D. Langer10
WSep 26 · 18:30D. Langer1.6771111113A. Walek2.10119761WSep 26 · 16:30D. Langer1.8311611113A. Walek1.83711661WSep 26 · 15:00D. Langer1.571113113J. Schwan2.2561180WSep 26 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.579280D. Langer2.251111113WSep 25 · 17:00D. Langer1.44561111113D. Heczko2.6311116862WSep 25 · 16:00D. Langer1.611117113D. Heczko2.2021560LSep 25 · 15:30S. Byrtus1.8011111010113D. Langer1.9188121282LSep 25 · 14:00D. Langer1.7310580A. Walek2.001211113WSep 20 · 13:00D. Langer2.63811811113J. Levicky1.4411511262LSep 20 · 12:00J. Simecek1.731112113D. Langer2.0091090
A. Walek10
LSep 26 · 18:30D. Langer1.6771111113A. Walek2.10119761LSep 26 · 16:30D. Langer1.8311611113A. Walek1.83711661WSep 26 · 15:30A. Walek1.83111110113E. Rychlik1.83381241WSep 26 · 14:30J. Schwan2.636811101A. Walek1.4411118123WSep 25 · 17:30S. Byrtus2.25671161A. Walek1.5711113113LSep 25 · 16:30A. Walek2.00710110S. Byrtus1.731112133WSep 25 · 15:00A. Walek1.831113911113D. Heczko1.83911111382WSep 25 · 14:00D. Langer1.7310580A. Walek2.001211113LSep 23 · 17:00A. Walek1.839101281D. Heczko1.83111210113LSep 23 · 16:00A. Walek1.6791111742D. Heczko2.10115811113
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