TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Amirreza Abbasi vs Artur Grela 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Amirreza Abbasi
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181311118––––
Artur Grela
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAmirreza Abbasi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAmirreza Abbasi above · Artur Grela below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 62 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Amirreza Abbasi at 54.0%
62 points played in total.
H2H Amirreza Abbasi 19–17 Artur Grela Artur Grela has won 17 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:43What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Abbasi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-17 in 36
Abbasi
Correct
gap of 2 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Abbasi 1900 vs Grela 1936
Grela
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Abbasi 20% vs Grela 60%
Grela
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Abbasi 30% vs Grela 60%
Grela
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Abbasi -4 · Grela +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Abbasi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Abbasi form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAbbasi 1.80 / Grela 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Abbasi)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13183279
Abbasi1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 72 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it92% 58 of 63
Grela1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 106 of 230
Down 0–1, comes back32% 43 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAbbasi4wins
AwayGrela6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGrela leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAbbasi66.7%2 of 3
AwayGrela71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Abbasi3Grela7n = 10Grela took 7 of 10
S2Abbasi4Grela6n = 10Grela took 6 of 10
S3Abbasi5Grela5n = 10split evenly
S4Abbasi4Grela4n = 8split evenly
S5Abbasi2Grela2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAbbasiGrelaA − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.143.7−5.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAbbasiGrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 398 vs 626 / 122447.2%51.1%188 / 398 vs 626 / 1224Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AbbasiAbbasi 1.80/Grela 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Abbasi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Abbasi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 13:20A. Abbasi30371281A. Grela43111110113
WAug 1 · 14:10A. Abbasi51157113153A. Grela561311811132
LJul 31 · 10:50A. Abbasi2351170A. Grela351113113
LJul 5 · 09:20A. Abbasi29613641A. Grela44111111113
LJul 4 · 11:40A. Abbasi3646111142A. Grela49111188113
WJun 8 · 15:10A. Abbasi4719116113A. Grela401741181
WJun 7 · 15:35A. Abbasi49711119113A. Grela4111551192
LJun 4 · 13:40A. Abbasi50128111182A. Grela541011139113
LMay 30 · 15:10A. Abbasi2441280A. Grela361114113
WMay 30 · 06:15A. Abbasi4281211113A. Grela391110991
A. Abbasi10
WSep 24 · 06:30J. Kuzmicz2.25611761A. Abbasi1.5711811113WSep 24 · 05:40S. Kolasa1.91911911102A. Abbasi1.80119118123LSep 24 · 03:45A. Abbasi2.0041111672P. David1.73118611113LSep 16 · 12:25H. Suzuki2.00121116113A. Abbasi1.71101181192LSep 16 · 02:00H. Suzuki2.00121116113A. Abbasi1.73101181192LSep 2 · 16:59A. Abbasi6.004940V. Ursu1.111111113WSep 2 · 16:02A. Abbasi2.2511911113J. Park1.579111051WAug 30 · 17:00A. Abbasi—11114113P. Zatowka—461161LAug 29 · 17:15O. Kveton—131131163A. Abbasi—15911142WAug 29 · 16:45S. Belik—7550A. Abbasi—1111113
A. Grela10
LSep 24 · 06:05P. David1.61115711113A. Grela2.2091111572WSep 24 · 03:25J. Kuzmicz2.6391191182A. Grela1.44116119113WSep 23 · 14:35A. Grela1.73412115133S. Kolasa2.001110411112WSep 23 · 12:55A. Grela1.4015149113K. Strowski2.7513121121LSep 23 · 11:40A. Grela1.73124491J. Zandecki2.00101111113LSep 23 · 10:00A. Grela2.201151111122J. Kosowski1.61811139143WSep 23 · 09:00A. Grela1.44111112113K. Kolodziej2.63431481LSep 23 · 08:05A. Grela1.4057111192J. Kuzmicz2.75111187113WSep 23 · 06:30S. Kolasa2.25511971A. Grela1.5711011113WSep 23 · 05:40J. Kosowski1.6781111952A. Grela2.10115711113
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