Mikolaj Lukaszewski vs Bartlomiej Mrugala 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 2 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 13Finished

Mikolaj Lukaszewski

Home

1.95

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 5

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

5119111113––––

Bartlomiej Mrugala

Away

1.75

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:20 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Bartlomiej Mrugala to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

60 points played in total.

Set by set

5119111113––––

H2H Mikolaj Lukaszewski 14–13 Bartlomiej Mrugala Bartlomiej Mrugala has won 13 of their 27 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Mrugala

Lukaszewski 1.95/Mrugala 1.75

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Mrugala · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Mrugala won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 00:20

54.0%Our read57.1%to break even at 1.75

short by 3.1pp

57.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.75 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.75 (53%)

Mrugala

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

14-13 in 27

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Lukaszewski 1243 vs Mrugala 1255

Mrugala

Correct

both rated, 11 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Lukaszewski 0% vs Mrugala 60%

Mrugala

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Lukaszewski 30% vs Mrugala 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Lukaszewski -5 · Mrugala +1

Lukaszewski

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Mrugala) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Lukaszewski: form 0%, the price implies 51%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLukaszewski 1.95 / Mrugala 1.75

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Mrugala)-3.1pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeLukaszewski5wins

AwayMrugala5wins

3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeLukaszewski83.3%5 of 6

AwayMrugala100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Lukaszewski6Mrugala4n = 10Lukaszewski took 6 of 10

S2Lukaszewski6Mrugala4n = 10Lukaszewski took 6 of 10

S3Lukaszewski4Mrugala6n = 10Mrugala took 6 of 10

S4Lukaszewski4Mrugala4n = 8split evenly

S5Lukaszewski1Mrugala2n = 3Mrugala took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricLukaszewskiMrugalaL − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.439.0−1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricLukaszewskiMrugalaBasisWin rate · lifetime892 / 1967 vs 340 / 73845.4%46.1%892 / 1967 vs 340 / 738Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.5per match

TT Elite Series · #13287617

Lukaszewski1.95

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog40% won 248 of 616

Down 0–1, comes back13% 44 of 334

Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 185

Mrugala1.75

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite57% won 58 of 102

Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22

Up 1–0, closes it84% 38 of 45

Mikolaj Lukaszewski vs Bartlomiej Mrugala 0-3 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Mikolaj Lukaszewski vs Bartlomiej Mrugala 0-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.