Martin Sobisek vs Jan Trefny 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA17 Hall · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Martin Sobisek

Home

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1162018116––––

Jan Trefny

Away

2.00

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

How it is goingMartin Sobisek above · Jan Trefny below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 20-18

Set 3 · 11-6

Point 72 set 3, 11-6

72 points played in total.

H2H Martin Sobisek 1–3 Jan Trefny Martin Sobisek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.

Last 4 · 1–3Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Sobisek

Sobisek 1.73/Trefny 2.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

3–0

Sobisek won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Trefny: form 20%, the price implies 50%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSobisek 1.727 / Trefny 2.00

Same-day rematch · 5h before this match

Trefny beat Sobisek 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 4 meetings

HomeSobisek1wins

AwayTrefny3wins

1 of 4 to a deciderTrefny leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSobisekn = 1, below the 3 needed

AwayTrefny100%3 of 3

Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Sobisek1Trefny3n = 4Trefny took 3 of 4

S2Sobisek1Trefny3n = 4Trefny took 3 of 4

S3Sobisek2Trefny2n = 4split evenly

S4Sobisek2Trefny1n = 3Sobisek took 2 of 3

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home125%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away125%

1–3Four sets, away125%

0–3Straight, away125%

These 4 meetings

MetricSobisekTrefnyS − TBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match36.536.0+0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSobisekTrefnyBasisWin rate · lifetime565 / 1200 vs 89 / 17547.1%50.9%565 / 1200 vs 89 / 175Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.735.9per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13282715

Sobisek1.73

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite62% won 109 of 175

Up 2–0, closes it97% 63 of 65

Up 1–0, closes it81% 85 of 105

Trefny2.00

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog52% won 44 of 85

Down 0–1, comes back31% 13 of 42

Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22

Martin Sobisek vs Jan Trefny 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Martin Sobisek vs Jan Trefny 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.