Rafal Stapor vs Mateusz Trela 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 2 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Rafal Stapor

Home

1.30

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1181171012118––

Mateusz Trela

Away

3.30

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

78 points played in total.

Set by set

1181171012118––

H2H Rafal Stapor 23–15 Mateusz Trela Mateusz Trela has won 15 of their 38 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Stapor

Stapor 1.30/Trela 3.30

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

3–1

Stapor won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Trela: form 20%, the price implies 30%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStapor 1.30 / Trela 3.30

Same-day rematch · 9h before this match

Trela beat Stapor 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeStapor5wins

AwayTrela5wins

4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeStapor66.7%2 of 3

AwayTrela57.1%4 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Stapor3Trela7n = 10Trela took 7 of 10

S2Stapor5Trela5n = 10split evenly

S3Stapor4Trela6n = 10Trela took 6 of 10

S4Stapor4Trela4n = 8split evenly

S5Stapor3Trela1n = 4Stapor took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricStaporTrelaS − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.337.5+1.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricStaporTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime740 / 1316 vs 816 / 167156.2%48.8%740 / 1316 vs 816 / 1671Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.4per match

TT Elite Series · #13282174

Stapor1.30

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite63% won 361 of 576

Up 2–0, closes it95% 181 of 190

Up 1–0, closes it79% 278 of 350

Trela3.30

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog41% won 126 of 309

Down 0–1, comes back27% 46 of 173

Down 0–2, comes back9% 7 of 82

Rafal Stapor vs Mateusz Trela 3-1 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Rafal Stapor vs Mateusz Trela 3-1 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.