TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Szymon Toborek vs Jakub Komorowicz 0-3 · TT Cup
TT CupPoland 2 · Kielce
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
41115171618––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:28 and never touched: 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Komorowicz to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
81 points played in total.
Set by set
41115171618––––
H2H Szymon Toborek 6–8 Jakub Komorowicz Szymon Toborek has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:2858.0%Our read62.5%to break even at 1.60
short by 4.5pp62.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.60 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Komorowicz
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Komorowicz
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Toborek 1279 vs Komorowicz 1337
Komorowicz
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Toborek 0% vs Komorowicz 40%
Komorowicz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Toborek 30% vs Komorowicz 50%
Komorowicz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Toborek -5 · Komorowicz -2
Toborek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Komorowicz) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komorowicz form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsToborek 2.10 / Komorowicz 1.60
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Komorowicz)-4.5pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13281497
Toborek2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 14 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back24% 7 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Komorowicz1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 61 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it100% 30 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it90% 45 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeToborek5wins
AwayKomorowicz5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeToborek100%4 of 4
AwayKomorowicz83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Toborek4Komorowicz6n = 10Komorowicz took 6 of 10
S2Toborek6Komorowicz4n = 10Toborek took 6 of 10
S3Toborek6Komorowicz4n = 10Toborek took 6 of 10
S4Toborek3Komorowicz3n = 6split evenly
S5Toborek2Komorowicz3n = 5Komorowicz took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricToborekKomorowiczT − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.039.8+0.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricToborekKomorowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime26 / 79 vs 247 / 55432.9%44.6%26 / 79 vs 247 / 554Avg sets wonper match1.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.839.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KomorowiczToborek 2.10/Komorowicz 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58%
Komorowicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Komorowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 5 · 18:00S. Toborek491111115113J. Komorowicz4788131172
LSep 27 · 15:35S. Toborek511011101372J. Komorowicz531271211113
WSep 26 · 10:35S. Toborek331111113J. Komorowicz239680
LSep 24 · 17:00S. Toborek31119110J. Komorowicz371311133
WJul 26 · 22:35S. Toborek47711117113J. Komorowicz4411681182
WJul 26 · 19:05S. Toborek4211911113J. Komorowicz33811771
LJul 11 · 15:05S. Toborek269980J. Komorowicz331111113
LJul 4 · 13:45S. Toborek45101112662J. Komorowicz511271011113
WJul 4 · 11:35S. Toborek341211113J. Komorowicz2610880
LJun 29 · 18:00S. Toborek42311111162J. Komorowicz51111379113
S. Toborek10
LOct 11 · 18:35K. Patryk1.261114113S. Toborek3.5091290LOct 11 · 16:35P. Kamil1.4681111113S. Toborek2.55119571LOct 11 · 15:35D. Kovtanyuk1.68121111113S. Toborek2.05148651LOct 5 · 22:10J. Caban1.47791113113S. Toborek2.50111161192LOct 5 · 20:30J. Caban1.5512911113S. Toborek2.301011881WOct 5 · 19:30D. Kovtanyuk1.7781191192S. Toborek1.95117116113WOct 5 · 18:00J. Komorowicz1.6688131172S. Toborek2.051111115113LOct 5 · 15:30W. Arkadiusz1.389111110113S. Toborek2.8011881282WOct 5 · 14:00K. Patryk1.3111711682S. Toborek3.20511711113LSep 28 · 21:40D. Kovtanyuk—11612113S. Toborek—9111051
J. Komorowicz10
LOct 11 · 19:05D. Kovtanyuk1.90119911113J. Komorowicz1.7661111662LOct 11 · 16:05W. Arkadiusz1.40911611113J. Komorowicz2.7511711852WOct 11 · 15:05P. Kamil1.53711881J. Komorowicz2.3511811113LOct 7 · 19:30J. Komorowicz1.5810490P. Kedzierski2.251211113WOct 7 · 17:00W. Arkadiusz1.36811911142J. Komorowicz2.85119119163WOct 7 · 16:30J. Komorowicz1.90101111113D. Kovtanyuk1.76122971WOct 7 · 15:30K. Patryk1.28128971J. Komorowicz3.40101111113WOct 7 · 14:30J. Komorowicz1.831212113P. Kedzierski1.83101090LOct 6 · 21:30M. Szostak—1111143J. Komorowicz—98120LOct 5 · 18:00J. Komorowicz1.6688131172S. Toborek2.051111115113
Upcoming Matches
S. Toborek
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J. Komorowicz
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