Anton Shypilov vs Oleksii Mitla 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 13Finished

Anton Shypilov

Home

1.91

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

9116111171715119

Oleksii Mitla

Away

1.80

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:00 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Oleksii Mitla to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Oleksii Mitla below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 17-15

Set 5 · 11-9

Point 107 set 5, 11-9 · our read held Oleksii Mitla at 54.0%

107 points played in total.

H2H Anton Shypilov 54–70 Oleksii Mitla Anton Shypilov has won 54 of their 124 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Mitla

Shypilov 1.91/Mitla 1.80

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Mitla · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Shypilov won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 01:00

54.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.6pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Mitla

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

54-70 in 124

Mitla

Wrong

gap of 16 in 124, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Shypilov 1538 vs Mitla 1533

Shypilov

Correct

both rated, 5 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Shypilov 80% vs Mitla 20%

Shypilov

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Shypilov 60% vs Mitla 40%

Shypilov

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Shypilov +1 · Mitla -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Mitla) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Mitla: form 20%, the price implies 56%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsShypilov 1.909 / Mitla 1.80

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Mitla)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeShypilov5wins

AwayMitla5wins

4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeShypilov50%3 of 6

AwayMitla50%2 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Shypilov6Mitla4n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10

S2Shypilov4Mitla6n = 10Mitla took 6 of 10

S3Shypilov6Mitla4n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10

S4Shypilov4Mitla5n = 9Mitla took 5 of 9

S5Shypilov2Mitla1n = 3Shypilov took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricShypilovMitlaS − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.441.2+2.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricShypilovMitlaBasisWin rate · lifetime402 / 883 vs 373 / 85545.5%43.6%402 / 883 vs 373 / 855Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.4per match

Setka Cup · #13281200

Shypilov1.91

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog44% won 165 of 373

Down 0–1, comes back29% 61 of 213

Down 0–2, comes back11% 12 of 113

Mitla1.80

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite64% won 50 of 78

Up 2–0, closes it69% 9 of 13

Up 1–0, closes it78% 31 of 40

Anton Shypilov vs Oleksii Mitla 3-2 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Anton Shypilov vs Oleksii Mitla 3-2 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.