Anton Shypilov vs Orest Hura 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 13Finished

Anton Shypilov

Home

2.20

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1159111191517118

Orest Hura

Away

1.62

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:05 and never touched: 58.5% is still 58.5%

Graded at full time

Orest Hura to win

58.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Orest Hura below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 15-17

Set 5 · 11-8

Point 107 set 5, 11-8 · our read held Orest Hura at 58.5%

107 points played in total.

H2H Anton Shypilov 43–36 Orest Hura Orest Hura has won 36 of their 79 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Hura

Shypilov 2.20/Hura 1.61

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

58.5%

Hura · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Shypilov won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 00:05

58.5%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615

short by 3.4pp

61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Hura

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

43-36 in 79

Shypilov

Correct

gap of 7 in 79, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Shypilov 1527 vs Hura 1556

Hura

Wrong

both rated, 29 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Shypilov 60% vs Hura 20%

Shypilov

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Shypilov 60% vs Hura 20%

Shypilov

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Shypilov -1 · Hura -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Hura) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Hura: form 20%, the price implies 62%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsShypilov 2.20 / Hura 1.615

Signal prob.42% / 59%

Edge (Hura)-3.4pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeShypilov6wins

AwayHura4wins

3 of 10 to a deciderShypilov leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeShypilov80%4 of 5

AwayHura60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Shypilov5Hura5n = 10split evenly

S2Shypilov3Hura7n = 10Hura took 7 of 10

S3Shypilov6Hura4n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10

S4Shypilov3Hura4n = 7Hura took 4 of 7

S5Shypilov3Hura0n = 3Shypilov took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricShypilovHuraS − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.642.3−1.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricShypilovHuraBasisWin rate · lifetime401 / 882 vs 416 / 80445.5%51.7%401 / 882 vs 416 / 804Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.9per match

Setka Cup · #13280962

Shypilov2.20

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog44% won 165 of 373

Down 0–1, comes back29% 61 of 213

Down 0–2, comes back11% 12 of 113

Hura1.61

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite52% won 101 of 193

Up 2–0, closes it98% 49 of 50

Up 1–0, closes it72% 70 of 97

Anton Shypilov vs Orest Hura 3-2 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Anton Shypilov vs Orest Hura 3-2 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.