TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Patrik Jokiel vs Filip Mandrysz 1-3 · TT Cup
TT CupHall 22 - Czech 11 · Prague
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711911111911––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:04 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Mandrysz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPatrik Jokiel above · Filip Mandrysz below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-1
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 70 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Filip Mandrysz at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:0454.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Mandrysz
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Jokiel 1405 vs Mandrysz 1420
Mandrysz
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jokiel 100% vs Mandrysz 60%
Jokiel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jokiel 60% vs Mandrysz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jokiel +5 · Mandrysz +2
Jokiel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Mandrysz) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jokiel form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJokiel 1.833 / Mandrysz 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mandrysz)-0.6pp
TT Cup · #13277151
Jokiel1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Mandrysz1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricJokielMandryszBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 506 vs 245 / 47946.3%51.2%234 / 506 vs 245 / 479Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MandryszJokiel 1.83/Mandrysz 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mandrysz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mandrysz won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Jokiel10
WOct 11 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.73111111842P. Jokiel2.00139511113WOct 11 · 06:40J. Sindler1.574750P. Jokiel2.251111113WOct 11 · 06:10P. Chvojka2.251310871P. Jokiel1.57111211113WOct 10 · 09:14J. Przybyla1.676115101P. Jokiel2.1011511123WOct 10 · 08:15V. Reska1.6161181112P. Jokiel2.20114119113WOct 10 · 07:15P. Jokiel2.0011911113A. Drozd1.73611571LOct 10 · 05:45J. Przybyla1.7311117113P. Jokiel2.00581171LOct 9 · 08:40P. Jokiel2.206350J. Matus1.601111113LOct 9 · 08:10P. Jokiel2.1031280J. Sindler1.671114113WOct 9 · 06:40J. Matus1.44911101182P. Jokiel2.63117126113
F. Mandrysz10
LOct 11 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.73111111842P. Jokiel2.00139511113WOct 11 · 07:10F. Mandrysz1.8311411113P. Chvojka1.83811891WOct 11 · 05:40J. Sindler1.57971131F. Mandrysz2.2511113113LOct 7 · 16:45T. Ogrocki1.8351116113F. Mandrysz1.831131451WOct 7 · 16:10O. Coufal1.8010111071F. Mandrysz1.9112812113LOct 7 · 15:10F. Mandrysz2.50611100M. Lorenc1.501113123LOct 7 · 13:40T. Ogrocki1.57117911113F. Mandrysz2.2581111282LOct 6 · 17:10F. Mandrysz1.67881111L. Krupnik Jr2.1011118113WOct 6 · 15:40D. Stefek1.732880F. Mandrysz2.001111113WOct 6 · 15:10L. Krupnik Jr1.9181110121F. Mandrysz1.8011812143
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