TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Filip Strejc vs David Jicha 3-0 · TT Cup
TT CupCzech 2 · Prague
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116119––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:21 and never touched: 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeDavid Jicha to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Strejc above · David Jicha below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 · our read held David Jicha at 54.1%
57 points played in total.
H2H Filip Strejc 56–76 David Jicha Filip Strejc has won 56 of their 132 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 07:2154.1%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.8pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jicha
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
56-76 in 132
Jicha
Wrong
gap of 20 in 132, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strejc 1622 vs Jicha 1824
Jicha
Wrong
both rated, 202 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strejc 20% vs Jicha 60%
Jicha
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strejc 40% vs Jicha 60%
Jicha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strejc -1 · Jicha +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Jicha) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strejc form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrejc 2.00 / Jicha 1.727
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jicha)-3.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13271359
Strejc2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 47 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back26% 19 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 37
Jicha1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 54 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it81% 42 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrejc2wins
AwayJicha8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJicha leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrejc40%2 of 5
AwayJicha100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strejc5Jicha5n = 10split evenly
S2Strejc3Jicha7n = 10Jicha took 7 of 10
S3Strejc5Jicha5n = 10split evenly
S4Strejc2Jicha7n = 9Jicha took 7 of 9
S5Strejc1Jicha3n = 4Jicha took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrejcJichaS − JBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.342.9−5.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrejcJichaBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 474 vs 172 / 33444.5%51.5%211 / 474 vs 172 / 334Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
JichaStrejc 2.00/Jicha 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Jicha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Strejc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 9 · 21:23F. Strejc27351181D. Jicha3811115113
LOct 9 · 18:20F. Strejc32115971D. Jicha4181111113
LSep 25 · 19:50F. Strejc2310850D. Jicha341211113
LSep 18 · 19:50F. Strejc4312681162D. Jicha501011117113
LSep 6 · 17:25F. Strejc37991181D. Jicha4111118113
LSep 6 · 15:20F. Strejc47118111162D. Jicha50711311183
LSep 2 · 15:55F. Strejc337111051D. Jicha4211812113
WSep 1 · 18:40F. Strejc41111152123D. Jicha47871111102
LSep 1 · 17:25F. Strejc4881112892D. Jicha501171011113
WAug 28 · 20:20F. Strejc4211811123D. Jicha369116101
F. Strejc10
LOct 9 · 21:23D. Jicha1.7311115113F. Strejc2.00351181WOct 9 · 20:20F. Strejc2.2551111133T. Vorisek1.571157111LOct 9 · 19:20F. Strejc2.7511118992J. Zlamal1.40891111113LOct 9 · 18:20F. Strejc1.91115971D. Jicha1.8081111113LOct 8 · 18:39F. Strejc2.10681151T. Vorisek1.6711115113WOct 8 · 16:55F. Strejc1.731015118113L. Soucek2.00121371162LOct 8 · 15:55F. Strejc2.10118111092V. Benak1.67411812113WOct 8 · 14:55F. Strejc2.251011511113T. Vorisek1.5712711772LOct 4 · 10:13F. Strejc1.91613561O. Kadavy1.80111111113WOct 4 · 09:25F. Strejc2.007111510113V. Benak1.73116131292
D. Jicha10
WOct 9 · 21:23D. Jicha1.7311115113F. Strejc2.00351181LOct 9 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4451111143D. Jicha2.631165121LOct 9 · 19:50D. Jicha1.731157101T. Vorisek2.0091111123WOct 9 · 18:20F. Strejc1.91115971D. Jicha1.8081111113WSep 27 · 21:23M. Stusek2.5591111752D. Jicha1.45117911113LSep 27 · 20:50D. Jicha1.5711751152M. Stusek2.25411113113WSep 27 · 19:20J. Zlamal1.579850D. Jicha2.251111113LSep 27 · 18:50T. Vorisek1.831213153D. Jicha1.831011130WSep 25 · 22:00D. Jicha1.55121110113M. Stusek2.301041261WSep 25 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.80116761D. Jicha1.9171111113
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