TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mateusz Sikon vs Oskar Jadach 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesPOC · Poczesna
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117711119311511
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched: 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
117711119311511
H2H Mateusz Sikon 0–4 Oskar Jadach Mateusz Sikon has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:4369.1%Our read54.3%to break even at 1.84
clears by 14.8pp54.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.84 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.84 (51%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Jadach
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1318 vs Jadach 1441
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 123 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 60% vs Jadach 80%
Jadach
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 40% vs Jadach 80%
Jadach
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon +1 · Jadach -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% · Clear lean (leans Jadach) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 1.88 / Jadach 1.84
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Jadach)+14.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13270043
Sikon1.88
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 120 of 322
Down 0–1, comes back18% 35 of 197
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 120
Jadach1.84
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 345 of 512
Up 2–0, closes it95% 165 of 174
Up 1–0, closes it85% 239 of 280
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSikon0wins
AwayJadach4wins
1 of 4 to a deciderJadach leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikonn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayJadach100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon0Jadach4n = 4Jadach took 4 of 4
S2Sikon2Jadach2n = 4split evenly
S3Sikon1Jadach3n = 4Jadach took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricSikonJadachS − JBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match29.241.0−11.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonJadachBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 496 vs 782 / 130041.3%60.2%205 / 496 vs 782 / 1300Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
JadachSikon 1.88/Jadach 1.84
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 8 · 03:30M. Sikon25611441O. Jadach4211911113
LSep 7 · 21:30M. Sikon208390O. Jadach331111113
LSep 7 · 05:05M. Sikon51611161172O. Jadach561171413113
LSep 6 · 20:45M. Sikon218580O. Jadach331111113
M. Sikon10
WOct 10 · 19:10M. Sikon1.85117912113G. Sawicki1.85411111092LOct 10 · 18:20K. Juszczyk1.661111113M. Sikon2.105830LOct 5 · 02:20M. Sikon1.831540A. Ruszkiewicz1.831111113WOct 5 · 00:45G. Sawicki2.005111291M. Sikon1.73111310113WOct 5 · 00:00M. Guzik1.75611771M. Sikon1.9511811113LOct 4 · 23:10M. Sikon—118591P. Ostachowski—71111113WOct 4 · 22:00M. Sikon1.90121111113M. Adamus1.80144691LOct 4 · 20:45M. Sikon1.601011581P. Ostachowski2.2012911113LOct 4 · 19:10M. Sikon—1111541M. Guzik—13911113LOct 4 · 18:00M. Sikon1.7811741172M. Adamus1.93811119113
O. Jadach10
LOct 10 · 19:30K. Juszczyk2.60151110113O. Jadach1.441351271WOct 10 · 17:55R. Szymik2.0011108101O. Jadach1.7281211123WOct 10 · 02:10O. Jadach1.171111113R. Adach4.509530WOct 10 · 00:35K. Schaniel2.6391111892O. Jadach1.44115911113WOct 9 · 23:45G. Sawicki4.331081251O. Jadach1.20121110113LOct 9 · 22:55O. Jadach1.25811101182M. Cesarz3.75116127113WOct 9 · 21:45O. Jadach1.331111113K. Juszczyk3.254780WOct 9 · 20:05O. Jadach1.221111123R. Adach4.0034100WOct 9 · 18:30K. Schaniel2.631181151O. Jadach1.4413117113WOct 9 · 17:45K. Juszczyk3.251181311102O. Jadach1.337111113123
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