TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krzysztof Juszczyk vs Mateusz Sikon 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesPOC · Poczesna
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118113––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:55 and never touched: 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Juszczyk to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
49 points played in total.
Set by set
115118113––––
H2H Krzysztof Juszczyk 1–2 Mateusz Sikon Krzysztof Juszczyk has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:5555.9%Our read60.2%to break even at 1.66
short by 4.3pp60.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.66 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (56%)
Juszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Juszczyk 1309 vs Sikon 1324
Sikon
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juszczyk 60% vs Sikon 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juszczyk 50% vs Sikon 30%
Juszczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Juszczyk +2 · Sikon -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Juszczyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuszczyk 1.66 / Sikon 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Juszczyk)-4.3pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13269835
Juszczyk1.66
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 196 of 305
Up 2–0, closes it95% 114 of 120
Up 1–0, closes it80% 156 of 194
Sikon2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Oct 05)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 120 of 322
Down 0–1, comes back18% 35 of 197
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeJuszczyk1wins
AwaySikon2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSikon leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juszczyk1Sikon2n = 3Sikon took 2 of 3
S2Juszczyk0Sikon3n = 3Sikon took 3 of 3
S3Juszczyk3Sikon0n = 3Juszczyk took 3 of 3
S4Juszczyk2Sikon1n = 3Juszczyk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricJuszczykSikonJ − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match42.339.3+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuszczykSikonBasisWin rate · lifetime653 / 1213 vs 204 / 49453.8%41.3%653 / 1213 vs 204 / 494Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
JuszczykJuszczyk 1.66/Sikon 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.9%
Juszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Juszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 5 · 03:05K. Juszczyk47781111102M. Sikon45111156123
WJul 4 · 21:05K. Juszczyk4111811113M. Sikon29611661
LJun 30 · 18:55K. Juszczyk391091281M. Sikon44121110113
K. Juszczyk10
WOct 10 · 01:45K. Schaniel1.9151291182K. Juszczyk1.801110118113WOct 10 · 01:00G. Sawicki2.757890K. Juszczyk1.401111113LOct 10 · 00:10K. Juszczyk1.331112911112M. Cesarz3.25214115133WOct 9 · 22:35K. Juszczyk1.57111111113R. Adach2.25913781LOct 9 · 21:45O. Jadach1.331111113K. Juszczyk3.254780LOct 9 · 20:30K. Juszczyk1.2598100M. Cesarz3.751111123WOct 9 · 18:55K. Juszczyk1.401111113O. Sokolowski2.754880LOct 9 · 17:45K. Juszczyk3.251181311102O. Jadach1.337111113123WOct 9 · 16:15K. Juszczyk1.8091111113K. Schaniel1.91114271LOct 9 · 15:00K. Juszczyk1.67118771R. Adach2.1071111113
M. Sikon10
WOct 10 · 19:10M. Sikon1.85117912113G. Sawicki1.85411111092LOct 5 · 02:20M. Sikon1.831540A. Ruszkiewicz1.831111113WOct 5 · 00:45G. Sawicki2.005111291M. Sikon1.73111310113WOct 5 · 00:00M. Guzik1.75611771M. Sikon1.9511811113LOct 4 · 23:10M. Sikon—118591P. Ostachowski—71111113WOct 4 · 22:00M. Sikon1.90121111113M. Adamus1.80144691LOct 4 · 20:45M. Sikon1.601011581P. Ostachowski2.2012911113LOct 4 · 19:10M. Sikon—1111541M. Guzik—13911113LOct 4 · 18:00M. Sikon1.7811741172M. Adamus1.93811119113LOct 4 · 16:25M. Sikon1.801011711102G. Sawicki1.91127117123
Upcoming Matches
K. Juszczyk
Oct 10 · 19:30K. Juszczyk2.60O. Jadach1.44—Oct 10 · 20:20K. Juszczyk1.50R. Wiza2.35—Oct 10 · 21:05K. Juszczyk2.40R. Szymik1.50—Oct 10 · 22:40K. Juszczyk—G. Sawicki——Oct 11 · 00:20K. Juszczyk—R. Wiza——Oct 11 · 01:30K. Juszczyk—O. Jadach——Oct 11 · 02:20K. Juszczyk—M. Sikon——Oct 11 · 03:05K. Juszczyk—R. Szymik——Oct 11 · 04:40K. Juszczyk—G. Sawicki——
M. Sikon
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.