TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Roman Wiza vs Krzysztof Juszczyk 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesPOC · Poczesna
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
51141112101012––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched: 61.4% is still 61.4%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Juszczyk to win
61.4%
61.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
51141112101012––
H2H Roman Wiza 75–123 Krzysztof Juszczyk Roman Wiza has won 75 of their 198 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:0461.4%Our read65.4%to break even at 1.53
short by 4.0pp65.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.53 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Juszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
75-123 in 198
Juszczyk
Correct
gap of 48 in 198, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wiza 1265 vs Juszczyk 1340
Juszczyk
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiza 40% vs Juszczyk 80%
Juszczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiza 50% vs Juszczyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiza -1 · Juszczyk +4
Juszczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Juszczyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juszczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiza 2.35 / Juszczyk 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Juszczyk)-4.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13269833
Wiza2.35
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 76 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back19% 24 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 80
Juszczyk1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 196 of 305
Up 2–0, closes it95% 114 of 120
Up 1–0, closes it80% 156 of 194
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWiza2wins
AwayJuszczyk8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderJuszczyk leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWiza40%2 of 5
AwayJuszczyk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiza5Juszczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Wiza3Juszczyk7n = 10Juszczyk took 7 of 10
S3Wiza3Juszczyk7n = 10Juszczyk took 7 of 10
S4Wiza2Juszczyk6n = 8Juszczyk took 6 of 8
S5Wiza2Juszczyk3n = 5Juszczyk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWizaJuszczykW − JBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.944.0−4.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWizaJuszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime410 / 945 vs 654 / 121343.4%53.9%410 / 945 vs 654 / 1213Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
JuszczykWiza 2.35/Juszczyk 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.4%
Juszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Juszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 16:25R. Wiza4797111192K. Juszczyk45111148113
LSep 5 · 00:20R. Wiza421281391K. Juszczyk47141111113
LAug 30 · 00:20R. Wiza391168141K. Juszczyk4681111163
LAug 29 · 20:20R. Wiza4213116752K. Juszczyk511171111113
LAug 29 · 00:20R. Wiza3811118442K. Juszczyk46671111113
WAug 28 · 20:20R. Wiza581611155113K. Juszczyk54146171162
LJul 12 · 00:20R. Wiza2210570K. Juszczyk341211113
LJul 11 · 20:20R. Wiza193970K. Juszczyk331111113
LJul 5 · 04:20R. Wiza4312911111K. Juszczyk4414116133
WJul 4 · 18:45R. Wiza49119711113K. Juszczyk4081111732
R. Wiza10
LOct 10 · 18:45R. Wiza3.15313771R. Szymik1.30111111113WOct 10 · 17:30R. Wiza1.73111112123G. Sawicki2.006914101LOct 10 · 04:20R. Szymik1.35121110113R. Wiza2.951041281LOct 10 · 03:30T. Lojtek1.8081111113R. Wiza1.90117661WOct 10 · 02:45R. Wiza1.571211153J. Michalski2.20106130LOct 10 · 01:10R. Wiza2.35510100J. Badura1.521112123LOct 10 · 00:20M. Adamus1.9581111113R. Wiza1.75119781WOct 9 · 23:05R. Wiza1.301111113J. Michalski3.103690WOct 9 · 21:30R. Wiza1.80137119113T. Lojtek1.85111171172WOct 9 · 20:20R. Wiza1.85111111113M. Adamus1.85991371
K. Juszczyk10
WOct 10 · 21:05R. Szymik1.52131181092K. Juszczyk2.371141112113WOct 10 · 19:30K. Juszczyk2.60151110113O. Jadach1.441351271WOct 10 · 18:20K. Juszczyk1.661111113M. Sikon2.105830WOct 10 · 01:45K. Schaniel1.9151291182K. Juszczyk1.801110118113WOct 10 · 01:00G. Sawicki2.757890K. Juszczyk1.401111113LOct 10 · 00:10K. Juszczyk1.331112911112M. Cesarz3.25214115133WOct 9 · 22:35K. Juszczyk1.57111111113R. Adach2.25913781LOct 9 · 21:45O. Jadach1.331111113K. Juszczyk3.254780LOct 9 · 20:30K. Juszczyk1.2598100M. Cesarz3.751111123WOct 9 · 18:55K. Juszczyk1.401111113O. Sokolowski2.754880
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