TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Grzegorz Jurowicz vs Kacper Adamus 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210114611115––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:55 and never touched: 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
1210114611115––
H2H Grzegorz Jurowicz 20–40 Kacper Adamus Grzegorz Jurowicz has won 20 of their 60 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 7h before this match
Adamus beat Jurowicz 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:5570.7%Our read76.3%to break even at 1.31
short by 5.6pp76.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.31 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.31 (69%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
20-40 in 60
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 20 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jurowicz 1278 vs Adamus 1395
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 117 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jurowicz 20% vs Adamus 60%
Adamus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jurowicz 30% vs Adamus 70%
Adamus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jurowicz -1 · Adamus +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% · Strong (leans Adamus) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (60%) is below what odds imply (76%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJurowicz 2.88 / Adamus 1.31
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Adamus)-5.6pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13267113
Jurowicz2.88
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 91 of 248
Down 0–1, comes back19% 31 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 96
Adamus1.31
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 357 of 588
Up 2–0, closes it97% 197 of 204
Up 1–0, closes it78% 287 of 366
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJurowicz3wins
AwayAdamus7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJurowiczn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayAdamus87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jurowicz2Adamus8n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S2Jurowicz6Adamus4n = 10Jurowicz took 6 of 10
S3Jurowicz2Adamus8n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S4Jurowicz1Adamus5n = 6Adamus took 5 of 6
S5Jurowicz3Adamus2n = 5Jurowicz took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricJurowiczAdamusJ − ABasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.942.2−6.3per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJurowiczAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime330 / 821 vs 928 / 169940.2%54.6%330 / 821 vs 928 / 1699Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusJurowicz 2.88/Adamus 1.31
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.7%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jurowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 8 · 19:10G. Jurowicz207850K. Adamus331111113
WOct 2 · 02:00G. Jurowicz44511411133K. Adamus51119119112
LOct 1 · 19:10G. Jurowicz227870K. Adamus331111113
WSep 4 · 00:25G. Jurowicz5411111010123K. Adamus51981212102
LSep 3 · 20:45G. Jurowicz34611891K. Adamus4111811113
LAug 5 · 16:20G. Jurowicz2577110K. Adamus351111133
LAug 5 · 06:45G. Jurowicz43101111652K. Adamus47127611113
LJul 8 · 15:55G. Jurowicz45511116122K. Adamus52119711143
LJul 8 · 09:55G. Jurowicz206590K. Adamus331111113
WJun 23 · 14:45G. Jurowicz521111109113K. Adamus4687121182
G. Jurowicz10
LOct 9 · 00:45G. Jurowicz2.456480M. Tkocz1.451111113WOct 8 · 23:35G. Jurowicz1.36111011113R. Komandzik2.66912661LOct 8 · 22:25O. Vincenec1.8011611113G. Jurowicz1.90911781LOct 8 · 21:35G. Jurowicz2.557840P. Kurek1.451111113LOct 8 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.551111113G. Jurowicz2.304680LOct 8 · 19:10K. Adamus1.471111113G. Jurowicz2.457850LOct 8 · 18:25G. Jurowicz2.404390W. Pytlas1.501111113LOct 8 · 16:50G. Jurowicz1.47118881R. Komandzik2.4061111113WOct 8 · 16:00M. Tkocz1.8491191152G. Jurowicz1.87118115113WOct 7 · 02:00M. Tkocz1.809360G. Jurowicz1.911111113
K. Adamus10
WOct 9 · 01:10O. Vincenec2.4591070K. Adamus1.471112113LOct 9 · 00:25K. Adamus1.7010860P. Kurek2.001211113LOct 8 · 22:50K. Adamus1.26121081152R. Komandzik3.501012117113WOct 8 · 22:00M. Tkocz1.677980K. Adamus1.951111113WOct 8 · 20:45K. Adamus1.64115911123W. Pytlas2.14811119102WOct 8 · 19:10K. Adamus1.471111113G. Jurowicz2.457850LOct 8 · 18:00K. Adamus1.91871171M. Tkocz1.8011115113WOct 8 · 16:25K. Adamus1.851111113M. Koczyba1.808890WOct 8 · 15:10K. Adamus1.601113173R. Komandzik2.10711150WOct 7 · 16:20K. Adamus1.70101111113R. Gajda2.04128691
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.